2023 College Football Playoff Odds / Bowl Odds
Through games of 12/02
Playoff Odds are the result of 10,000 season simulations (using current All-Division Strength power rating) with Playoff grading formula applied to each simulated season. Results are then averaged to rank by Playoff Odds and obtain Bowl Odds. Projected record is given for game-by-game (favorite always wins) and Cumulative (wins are averaged). The current ranking in the College Football Playoff Committee is given along with the projected "chalk" final rank; this different from the main Ranking which is sorted by Playoff Odds. "Chalk" instead is the estimated rank for the scenario where there are no more upsets.
Final Rankings using Playoff Formula only
Ranking | Playoff | CFP Rnk Team Conf Rec |%Odds | Actual 1. Michigan B10e 13-0 99.9 1 2. Washington P12 13-0 98.7 2 3. Texas B12 12-1 73.7 3 4. Florida St ACC 13-0 56.9 5 5. Alabama SECw 12-1 44.7 4 6. Georgia SECe 12-1 29.0 6 7. Ohio State B10e 11-1 6.4 7 8. Oregon P12 11-2 0.0 8 9. Missouri SECe 10-2 0.0 9 10. Penn State B10e 10-2 0.0 10 11. Oklahoma B12 10-2 0.0 12 12. Mississippi SECw 10-2 0.0 11 13. LSU SECw 9-3 0.0 13 14. Louisville ACC 10-3 0.0 15 15. Arizona P12 9-3 0.0 14 16. Notre Dame IND 9-3 0.0 16 17. Iowa B10w 10-3 0.0 17 18. North Carolina St ACC 9-3 0.0 18 19. Oregon St P12 8-4 0.0 19 20. SMU AAC 11-2 0.0 24 21. Liberty CUSA 13-0 0.0 23 22. Oklahoma St B12 9-4 0.0 20 23. Kansas St B12 8-4 0.0 25 24. Tennessee SECw 8-4 0.0 21 25. Clemson ACC 8-4 0.0 22