It's that time again (very close to the first game kickoff) so without further ado: Pre-season rankings!
See also College Football Playoff Odds / Bowl Odds for a look at where the teams below might end up after playing out their schedule. (I've included the info at the end of this post to preserve it for posterity, so just scroll down).
2024 Pre-season rankings with projected (pure "chalk") record and rating.
Rnk Team Rec Rating 1. Oregon 12-0 37.53 2. Georgia 12-0 34.02 3. Ohio State 11-1 34.01 4. Texas 11-1 29.87 5. Mississippi 11-1 29.71 6. Alabama 10-2 28.17 7. Notre Dame 12-0 27.68 8. Penn State 11-1 27.33 9. Oklahoma 10-2 25.64 10. Texas A&M 10-2 22.02 11. Kansas St 11-1 20.59 12. Iowa St 11-1 20.30 13. LSU 8-4 19.32 14. Missouri 9-3 19.27 15. Arizona 9-3 19.18 16. Michigan 9-3 18.90 17. Oklahoma St 10-2 18.18 18. Utah 11-1 18.12 19. TCU 10-2 17.23 20. Louisville 9-3 17.20 21. Southern Cal 8-4 16.79 22. Clemson 9-3 16.53 23. Tennessee 9-3 15.76 24. Auburn 6-6 14.99 25. SMU 11-1 14.87 26. Virginia Tech 11-1 14.33 27. Kentucky 8-4 14.24 28. Florida St 9-3 13.74 29. Iowa 10-2 13.57 30. Central Florida 7-5 13.08 31. Kansas 8-4 12.98 32. Texas Tech 8-4 12.89 33. Miami FL 10-2 12.44 34. Boise St 11-1 11.77 35. Wisconsin 6-6 10.80 36. West Virginia 6-6 10.30 37. Washington 6-6 9.98 38. Memphis 11-1 9.93 39. UCLA 4-8 9.83 40. Florida 3-9 9.55 41. North Carolina St 8-4 9.31 42. Arkansas 4-8 9.29 43. South Carolina 4-8 8.98 44. California 8-4 8.87 45. Maryland 6-6 8.35 46. North Carolina 9-3 8.06 47. Nebraska 8-4 7.33 48. Rutgers 7-5 7.10 49. Indiana 8-4 6.28 50. Baylor 4-8 6.14 51. Tulane 9-3 6.01 52. Liberty 12-0 5.81 53. Minnesota 4-8 5.18 54. Duke 4-8 5.04 55. Washington St 7-5 4.56 56. Oregon St 9-3 4.55 57. Brigham Young 4-8 4.06 58. Syracuse 7-5 3.76 59. Cincinnati 5-7 3.40 60. Georgia Tech 3-9 3.38 61. Colorado 4-8 3.15 62. Purdue 3-9 3.14 63. Texas-San Antonio 10-2 3.13 64. Illinois 5-7 2.96 65. Wake Forest 5-7 2.75 66. Northwestern 4-8 2.20 67. Fresno St 10-2 1.93 68. Mississippi St 4-8 0.86 69. Boston College 5-7 0.81 70. Stanford 3-9 0.26 71. Virginia 2-10 0.17 72. James Madison 10-2 0.02 73. Appalachian St 8-4 -0.18 74. Pittsburgh 3-9 -0.21 75. Michigan St 2-10 -0.63 76. Western Kentucky 9-3 -0.81 77. Wyoming 9-3 -1.10 78. Texas St-San Marcos 10-2 -1.74 79. Houston 2-10 -2.05 80. Louisiana-Lafayette 8-4 -2.48 81. UNLV 6-6 -2.59 82. South Florida 7-5 -3.01 83. Coastal Carolina 10-2 -3.04 84. Rice 8-4 -3.76 85. Air Force 8-4 -4.14 86. East Carolina 9-3 -4.25 87. South Alabama 8-4 -4.46 88. Bowling Green 9-3 -4.50 89. Vanderbilt 3-9 -4.55 90. Miami OH 7-5 -4.62 91. Troy 5-7 -5.54 92. Toledo 9-3 -5.64 93. Arizona St 0-12 -5.78 94. San Jose St 3-9 -6.17 95. Northern Illinois 8-4 -6.38 96. Utah St 5-7 -6.77 97. Arkansas St 7-5 -7.16 98. Florida Atlantic 8-4 -7.17 99. Colorado St 6-6 -7.74 100. Marshall 5-7 -8.13 101. Army 5-7 -8.20 102. Navy 3-9 -8.21 103. Georgia Southern 4-8 -8.34 104. Georgia St 5-7 -9.41 105. Jacksonville St 8-4 -9.44 106. Alabama-Birmingham 6-6 -10.24 107. North Texas 4-8 -10.28 108. San Diego St 3-9 -10.40 109. Old Dominion 2-10 -10.78 110. Western Michigan 6-6 -11.03 111. Ohio U. 6-6 -11.53 112. Hawai`i 4-8 -12.41 113. Tulsa 3-9 -12.53 114. Middle Tennessee St 5-7 -12.97 115. New Mexico St 5-7 -13.02 116. Central Michigan 7-5 -13.55 117. Sam Houston St 5-7 -15.06 118. Connecticut 4-8 -15.16 119. Ball St 1-11 -15.27 120. UTEP 5-7 -15.60 121. Buffalo 5-7 -15.95 122. Nevada 1-12 -16.22 123. UNC-Charlotte 1-11 -17.02 124. Southern Miss 2-10 -17.26 125. Louisiana Tech 4-8 -17.52 126. Eastern Michigan 5-7 -17.79 127. New Mexico 0-12 -18.12 128. Temple 0-12 -21.90 129. Florida Int'l 2-10 -22.05 130. Massachusetts 2-10 -22.26 131. Louisiana-Monroe 1-11 -22.33 132. Kent St 2-10 -23.86 133. Akron 1-11 -24.27 134. Kennesaw St 0-12 -26.81
Pre-season Playoff Odds for 2024
Team Conf Proj Record Playoff% Bowl% 1. Oregon B10 10.5- 1.5 72.5 98.76 2. Ohio State B10 10.1- 1.9 61.6 98.71 3. Georgia SEC 9.6- 2.4 57.3 96.36 4. Notre Dame Ind 9.9- 2.1 54.5 96.38 5. Texas SEC 9.4- 2.6 50.4 94.72 6. Mississippi SEC 9.5- 2.5 49.6 94.78 7. Penn State B10 9.3- 2.7 44.3 93.03 8. Alabama SEC 8.9- 3.1 43.2 90.95 9. Oklahoma SEC 8.3- 3.7 32.8 86.12 10. Texas A&M SEC 8.3- 3.7 28.6 84.08 11. Missouri SEC 8.5- 3.5 23.8 89.22 12. Kansas St B12 8.5- 3.5 27.6 85.78 13. Iowa St B12 8.3- 3.7 24.5 83.46 14. Arizona B12 8.4- 3.6 20.4 86.00 15. Utah B12 8.1- 3.9 23.0 82.10 16. Michigan B10 7.5- 4.5 21.2 77.17 17. Clemson ACC 7.8- 4.2 20.3 80.25 18. Liberty CUSA 9.5- 2.5 17.6 92.71 19. Oklahoma St B12 7.9- 4.1 21.2 79.66 20. Boise St MWC 8.7- 3.3 17.5 89.23 21. LSU SEC 7.4- 4.6 22.2 75.29 22. Louisville ACC 8.0- 4.0 19.2 81.55 23. Memphis AAc 8.8- 3.2 18.9 89.59 24. SMU ACC 8.3- 3.7 18.5 84.14 25. Virginia Tech ACC 8.3- 3.7 18.8 82.46 26. Tennessee SEC 7.6- 4.4 14.5 79.31 27. Florida St ACC 7.2- 4.8 17.3 71.47 28. TCU B12 7.5- 4.5 17.2 75.14 29. Miami FL ACC 7.6- 4.4 15.3 76.23 30. Southern Cal B10 7.0- 5.0 16.4 68.00 31. Auburn SEC 7.1- 4.9 10.2 74.19 32. Kansas B12 7.5- 4.5 12.6 75.69 33. Central Florida B12 7.4- 4.6 11.5 74.17 34. Iowa B10 7.2- 4.8 11.8 72.18 35. North Carolina St ACC 7.5- 4.5 10.7 74.79 36. Kentucky SEC 6.9- 5.1 9.2 71.19 37. Texas Tech B12 7.3- 4.7 10.0 73.27 38. North Carolina ACC 7.5- 4.5 9.4 74.85 39. Texas-San Antonio AAc 7.8- 4.2 7.3 81.66 40. Tulane AAc 7.6- 4.4 9.5 77.79 41. James Madison SUNe 8.0- 4.0 6.6 80.23 42. Washington St P12 7.3- 4.7 6.4 74.28 43. California ACC 6.8- 5.2 8.1 66.03 44. Oregon St P12 7.1- 4.9 5.1 72.49 45. Texas St-San Marcos SUNw 7.8- 4.2 5.5 77.08 46. Washington B10 6.2- 5.8 6.2 58.93 47. Fresno St MWC 7.3- 4.7 5.3 72.88 48. Western Kentucky CUSA 7.4- 4.6 3.9 76.16 49. Maryland B10 6.4- 5.6 5.2 62.16 50. Rutgers B10 6.7- 5.3 5.8 64.60 51. Indiana B10 6.8- 5.2 3.8 66.93 52. Wisconsin B10 6.1- 5.9 6.7 57.09 53. Syracuse ACC 6.7- 5.3 5.2 65.23 54. Arkansas SEC 5.9- 6.1 5.6 52.92 55. Louisiana-Lafayette SUNw 7.3- 4.7 5.0 72.65 56. Appalachian St SUNe 6.8- 5.2 5.5 66.49 57. West Virginia B12 5.8- 6.2 7.2 52.86 58. Duke ACC 6.3- 5.7 5.7 60.04 59. Nebraska B10 6.2- 5.8 4.5 59.14 60. UCLA B10 5.7- 6.3 5.6 52.17 61. South Carolina SEC 5.8- 6.2 4.5 52.23 62. Coastal Carolina SUNe 6.9- 5.1 4.2 67.54 63. Toledo MAC 7.3- 4.7 2.5 72.18 64. East Carolina AAc 7.1- 4.9 3.7 69.44 65. Wyoming MWC 6.6- 5.4 4.0 63.87 66. Bowling Green MAC 6.7- 5.3 1.5 68.65 67. South Alabama SUNw 6.7- 5.3 2.6 65.87 68. Wake Forest ACC 5.9- 6.1 3.5 53.52 69. Rice AAc 6.6- 5.4 3.0 64.75 70. Baylor B12 5.6- 6.4 3.9 49.96 71. Miami OH MAC 6.6- 5.4 1.6 65.05 72. Florida SEC 5.0- 7.0 4.9 40.42 73. Minnesota B10 5.6- 6.4 3.8 49.85 74. Air Force MWC 6.7- 5.3 2.3 64.73 75. Florida Atlantic AAc 6.9- 5.1 1.6 68.23 76. Northern Illinois MAC 6.7- 5.3 1.1 67.22 77. South Florida AAc 6.3- 5.7 2.5 60.38 78. Cincinnati B12 5.6- 6.4 2.7 50.73 79. UNLV MWC 6.2- 5.8 2.6 57.91 80. Troy SUNw 6.3- 5.7 2.0 60.21 81. Illinois B10 5.5- 6.5 1.7 48.51 82. Georgia Tech ACC 5.0- 7.0 2.3 39.73 83. Boston College ACC 5.2- 6.8 2.0 44.74 84. Brigham Young B12 5.0- 7.0 3.0 42.21 85. Jacksonville St CUSA 6.3- 5.7 0.9 61.36 86. Northwestern B10 5.2- 6.8 1.7 43.78 87. Army AAc 6.0- 6.0 1.0 56.50 88. Pittsburgh ACC 5.2- 6.8 1.6 44.20 89. Arkansas St SUNw 5.8- 6.2 0.9 54.04 90. Marshall SUNe 5.8- 6.2 0.8 53.50 91. San Jose St MWC 5.6- 6.4 1.7 49.70 92. Purdue B10 4.6- 7.4 1.6 35.08 93. Ohio U. MAC 6.1- 5.9 0.4 58.29 94. Utah St MWC 5.7- 6.3 0.8 52.05 95. Western Michigan MAC 6.0- 6.0 0.3 57.80 96. Virginia ACC 4.7- 7.3 1.7 37.74 97. Colorado St MWC 5.8- 6.2 0.6 53.21 98. Mississippi St SEC 4.7- 7.3 0.9 35.48 99. Navy AAc 5.5- 6.5 0.9 48.71 100. Colorado B12 4.5- 7.5 2.2 35.41 101. Michigan St B10 4.8- 7.2 1.0 36.94 102. Alabama-Birmingham AAc 5.6- 6.4 0.6 50.98 103. Stanford ACC 4.5- 7.5 1.6 33.53 104. Georgia St SUNe 5.4- 6.6 1.1 47.75 105. Georgia Southern SUNe 5.2- 6.8 0.7 45.51 106. Central Michigan MAC 5.8- 6.2 0.3 52.57 107. Tulsa AAc 5.3- 6.7 0.3 45.77 108. North Texas AAc 4.9- 7.1 0.6 40.85 109. New Mexico St CUSA 5.3- 6.7 0.2 46.65 110. Buffalo MAC 5.6- 6.4 0.1 50.93 111. San Diego St MWC 5.0- 7.0 0.5 41.99 112. Middle Tennessee St CUSA 5.2- 6.8 0.2 43.78 113. Hawai`i MWC 5.2- 6.8 0.2 43.42 114. Eastern Michigan MAC 5.2- 6.8 0.1 44.96 115. Connecticut Ind 4.9- 7.1 <0.1 40.22 116. Sam Houston St CUSA 4.8- 7.2 0.2 39.51 117. Old Dominion SUNe 4.3- 7.7 0.5 32.35 118. Houston B12 3.6- 8.4 0.5 22.45 119. UTEP CUSA 4.8- 7.2 0.1 39.06 120. Louisiana Tech CUSA 5.0- 7.0 <0.1 41.38 121. Vanderbilt SEC 3.7- 8.3 0.2 20.05 122. Ball St MAC 4.4- 7.6 0.1 35.11 123. Arizona St B12 3.2- 8.8 0.2 19.20 124. Southern Miss SUNw 4.0- 8.0 <0.1 28.24 125. Florida Int'l CUSA 4.1- 7.9 0.0 30.16 126. Massachusetts Ind 3.9- 8.1 0.0 21.87 127. UNC-Charlotte AAc 3.4- 8.6 <0.1 20.80 128. Nevada MWC 3.7- 9.3 <0.1 17.73 129. Kent St MAC 3.5- 8.5 0.0 21.14 130. New Mexico MWC 3.1- 8.9 0.0 18.16 131. Akron MAC 3.2- 8.8 0.0 17.91 132. Temple AAc 3.0- 9.0 <0.1 16.60 133. Louisiana-Monroe SUNw 2.9- 9.1 <0.1 15.22 134. Kennesaw St CUSA 2.9- 9.1 0.0 16.23
Comments