Bayesian/Strength update of pre-season ratings based on results through 10/08/2022 (week 6). Projected records based on resultant ratings.
Ratings are 25% Bayesian (update of pre-season ratings) and 75% Strength ratings (no pre-season bias). This is the last rating we will publish that includes any pre-season bias.
Rnk Team Rating Bayes Str Rec Proj 1. Ohio State 36.77 1 2 6-0 12-0 2. Alabama 36.30 2 1 6-0 12-0 3. Georgia 33.77 3 3 6-0 12-0 4. Texas 30.22 4 4 4-2 10-2 5. Tennessee 25.97 5 5 5-0 10-2 6. Michigan 25.76 6 6 6-0 11-1 7. TCU 24.02 11 7 5-0 11-1 8. Mississippi St 21.71 9 9 5-1 8-4 9. Clemson 21.54 10 8 6-0 12-0 10. Mississippi 20.07 15 10 6-0 11-1 11. Southern Cal 19.78 19 11 6-0 12-0 12. Penn State 18.59 18 13 5-0 10-2 13. Oregon 18.17 7 20 5-1 11-1 14. Illinois 17.90 28 12 5-1 10-2 15. Kansas St 17.80 21 17 5-1 8-4 16. Wake Forest 17.72 20 18 5-1 11-1 17. Maryland 16.94 25 19 4-2 7-5 18. Minnesota 16.92 12 23 4-1 8-4 19. Oklahoma St 16.86 14 21 5-0 8-4 20. Notre Dame 16.52 13 24 3-2 8-4 21. Central Florida 16.51 39 16 4-1 11-1 22. Utah 16.10 8 31 4-2 8-4 23. James Madison 15.66 53 14 5-0 11-0 24. Purdue 15.55 16 28 4-2 8-4 25. Kansas 15.28 55 15 5-1 8-4 26. Baylor 14.85 23 26 3-2 7-5 27. Iowa St 14.63 41 22 3-3 6-6 28. UCLA 14.58 27 27 6-0 10-2 29. North Carolina St 14.17 22 32 5-1 9-3 30. LSU 13.77 35 30 4-2 6-6 31. Texas A&M 13.61 17 39 3-3 8-4 32. Iowa 13.48 30 33 3-3 6-6 33. Wisconsin 13.45 26 35 3-3 8-4 34. Florida St 12.98 24 38 4-2 8-4 35. SMU 12.89 57 25 2-3 9-3 36. Washington 12.84 50 29 4-2 8-4 37. Syracuse 12.33 45 34 5-0 9-3 38. West Virginia 11.98 44 36 2-3 4-8 39. Washington St 11.84 46 37 4-2 9-3 40. Arkansas 11.35 37 41 3-3 6-6 41. Texas Tech 11.22 42 40 3-3 5-7 42. Louisville 10.37 34 45 3-3 4-8 43. Cincinnati 10.06 29 49 5-1 9-3 44. Kentucky 9.84 38 47 4-2 6-6 45. Tulane 9.36 56 43 5-1 8-4 46. Brigham Young 9.22 36 52 4-2 10-2 47. Oklahoma 9.17 47 48 3-3 3-9 48. North Carolina 8.83 33 57 5-1 8-4 49. Alabama-Birmingham 8.74 62 44 3-2 8-4 50. Missouri 8.61 49 51 2-4 6-6 51. South Carolina 8.52 40 56 4-2 6-6 52. Florida 8.21 31 61 4-2 6-6 53. Pittsburgh 7.94 52 54 4-2 7-5 54. San Jose St 7.32 58 53 4-1 11-1 55. South Alabama 7.26 72 46 4-1 11-1 56. Duke 7.13 84 42 4-2 8-4 57. Western Kentucky 6.57 69 55 3-3 9-4 58. Memphis 6.44 75 50 4-2 6-6 59. Michigan St 6.24 43 64 2-4 4-8 60. Troy 5.86 66 59 4-2 9-3 61. Marshall 5.80 73 58 3-2 9-3 62. Houston 5.78 68 60 3-3 7-5 63. East Carolina 5.18 67 62 3-3 6-6 64. California 5.03 61 63 3-2 5-7 65. Oregon St 4.83 32 73 4-2 7-5 66. Auburn 4.68 54 67 3-3 4-8 67. Texas-San Antonio 4.59 59 66 4-2 9-3 68. Appalachian St 3.43 70 69 3-3 7-5 69. Liberty 3.04 74 70 5-1 9-3 70. Miami FL 2.96 51 75 2-3 5-7 71. Buffalo 2.48 85 65 3-3 9-3 72. Navy 2.25 83 68 2-3 4-8 73. Air Force 2.07 71 72 4-2 10-2 74. Stanford 1.69 63 77 1-4 2-10 75. Coastal Carolina 1.00 90 71 6-0 10-2 76. Indiana 0.79 79 74 3-3 4-8 77. Arizona St 0.67 60 80 2-4 4-8 78. Toledo 0.60 65 79 4-2 9-3 79. Vanderbilt -0.77 96 76 3-3 3-9 80. UNLV -2.33 92 81 4-2 8-4 81. Georgia Tech -2.58 93 82 3-3 5-7 82. Virginia -2.58 88 85 2-4 3-9 83. Boise St -2.63 48 99 4-2 7-5 84. Southern Miss -2.64 80 88 2-3 7-5 85. Arkansas St -2.79 112 78 2-4 4-8 86. Louisiana-Lafayette -3.00 91 86 2-3 5-7 87. Florida Atlantic -3.00 97 83 2-4 5-7 88. Rice -3.09 98 84 3-2 6-6 89. Kent St -3.24 94 87 2-4 6-6 90. Arizona -3.40 77 91 3-3 3-9 91. Rutgers -3.47 78 90 3-3 3-9 92. Nebraska -4.07 64 101 3-3 3-9 93. Georgia Southern -4.48 101 89 3-3 3-9 94. Tulsa -5.11 95 94 2-4 4-8 95. Middle Tennessee St -5.16 102 93 3-3 8-4 96. Wyoming -5.19 104 92 4-3 9-3 97. Miami OH -5.80 105 95 3-3 8-4 98. Northwestern -6.14 106 96 1-5 1-11 99. Georgia St -6.20 81 103 2-4 4-8 100. North Texas -6.47 103 97 3-3 6-6 101. Old Dominion -6.50 100 98 2-3 3-9 102. Utah St -6.60 99 100 2-4 5-7 103. Virginia Tech -7.49 86 105 2-4 2-10 104. Central Michigan -7.92 113 102 1-5 4-8 105. Ohio U. -8.18 114 104 3-3 7-5 106. South Florida -8.91 87 110 1-5 1-11 107. Eastern Michigan -8.97 108 108 4-2 8-4 108. Northern Illinois -9.23 107 109 1-5 5-7 109. Boston College -9.40 82 114 2-4 3-9 110. Army -9.48 89 112 1-4 5-7 111. Fresno St -10.06 76 117 1-4 3-9 112. Louisiana Tech -10.19 109 111 2-3 4-8 113. Louisiana-Monroe -10.93 124 107 2-4 3-9 114. Temple -11.19 125 106 2-3 3-9 115. Texas St-San Marcos -11.89 119 113 3-3 3-9 116. Ball St -12.76 115 118 4-2 5-7 117. Bowling Green -13.12 122 116 2-4 3-9 118. Nevada -13.23 123 115 2-4 5-7 119. New Mexico -13.54 116 119 2-4 5-7 120. San Diego St -15.01 110 121 3-3 3-9 121. Colorado St -15.11 121 120 1-4 3-9 122. UTEP -15.46 111 122 3-4 4-8 123. Western Michigan -17.17 117 125 1-5 1-11 124. Colorado -17.25 118 124 0-5 0-12 125. Connecticut -17.50 120 123 3-4 4-8 126. UNC-Charlotte -20.44 126 126 1-5 2-10 127. Akron -23.08 127 127 1-5 1-11 128. Massachusetts -25.03 128 128 1-5 2-10 129. New Mexico St -29.80 130 129 1-5 2-10 130. Hawai`i -29.96 129 130 1-5 1-12 131. Florida Int'l -38.78 131 131 2-3 2-10
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