Bayesian/Strength update of pre-season ratings based on results through 9/24/2022 (week 4). Projected records based on resultant ratings.
Ratings are 75% Bayesian update of pre-season ratings and 25% Strength ratings (no pre-season bias)
Rnk Team Rating Bayes Str Rec Proj 1. Ohio State 37.55 1 3 4-0 12-0 2. Georgia 36.89 2 1 4-0 12-0 3. Alabama 35.81 3 2 4-0 12-0 4. Michigan 25.74 4 7 4-0 11-1 5. Minnesota 25.10 5 6 4-0 12-0 6. Tennessee 22.03 7 17 4-0 10-2 7. Oklahoma 21.63 8 14 3-1 11-1 8. Penn State 20.40 10 21 4-0 9-3 9. Southern Cal 20.34 24 4 4-0 11-1 10. Oregon 20.27 9 26 3-1 11-1 11. Texas 19.39 13 9 2-2 8-4 12. Cincinnati 19.31 12 15 3-1 11-1 13. Utah 18.76 6 64 3-1 10-2 14. Notre Dame 18.69 11 27 2-2 9-3 15. Mississippi St 18.19 18 13 3-1 8-4 16. Mississippi 18.16 14 19 4-0 8-4 17. LSU 18.10 23 8 3-1 7-5 18. TCU 17.32 27 11 3-0 9-3 19. Washington 17.02 34 5 4-0 11-1 20. Clemson 16.61 15 36 4-0 10-2 21. Oregon St 16.58 21 22 3-1 8-4 22. Kansas St 16.37 19 28 3-1 9-3 23. Wisconsin 16.12 26 23 2-2 9-3 24. Florida St 15.85 22 29 4-0 11-1 25. Baylor 15.74 17 40 3-1 9-3 26. Arkansas 15.59 28 24 3-1 8-4 27. North Carolina St 15.54 16 47 4-0 9-3 28. Texas A&M 14.87 20 44 3-1 9-3 29. Maryland 14.22 37 18 3-1 8-4 30. Kentucky 13.58 32 35 4-0 8-4 31. Brigham Young 13.37 29 49 3-1 10-2 32. Pittsburgh 13.10 35 31 3-1 10-2 33. Louisville 12.99 30 50 2-2 8-4 34. Iowa 12.51 31 55 3-1 5-7 35. Michigan St 12.41 36 41 2-2 4-8 36. Syracuse 12.13 38 34 4-0 7-5 37. Oklahoma St 11.74 25 81 3-0 7-5 38. Purdue 11.63 33 59 2-2 6-6 39. West Virginia 11.34 42 30 2-2 2-10 40. SMU 11.28 45 16 2-2 9-3 41. Illinois 11.23 49 12 3-1 8-4 42. Iowa St 11.03 39 42 3-1 6-6 43. Wake Forest 10.92 41 38 3-1 8-4 44. UCLA 9.67 46 32 4-0 7-5 45. James Madison 9.26 56 10 3-0 10-1 46. Washington St 9.22 51 33 3-1 7-5 47. Texas Tech 8.73 43 61 3-1 5-7 48. Florida 8.55 40 73 2-2 6-6 49. California 8.13 53 37 3-1 6-6 50. Air Force 8.00 52 43 3-1 11-1 51. North Carolina 7.68 44 70 3-1 7-5 52. Central Florida 7.52 50 57 3-1 9-3 53. South Carolina 7.13 48 65 2-2 5-7 54. Kansas 7.12 61 20 4-0 4-8 55. Miami FL 6.43 47 71 2-2 7-5 56. Fresno St 6.42 55 46 1-2 10-2 57. Western Kentucky 5.58 58 45 3-1 10-3 58. Appalachian St 5.17 60 54 2-2 9-3 59. Stanford 5.08 70 25 1-2 2-10 60. Alabama-Birmingham 4.22 65 52 2-1 9-3 61. Auburn 3.72 54 91 3-1 4-8 62. Marshall 3.07 69 63 2-2 9-3 63. South Alabama 2.64 71 51 3-1 11-1 64. Missouri 2.55 59 84 2-2 4-8 65. Tulane 2.42 64 78 3-1 6-6 66. Houston 2.38 67 76 2-2 7-5 67. East Carolina 2.36 68 69 2-2 6-6 68. Texas-San Antonio 2.10 63 83 2-2 8-4 69. Boise St 2.01 57 92 2-2 7-5 70. Army 1.80 62 85 1-2 7-5 71. Memphis 1.76 74 58 3-1 7-5 72. Virginia 1.53 72 67 2-2 6-6 73. Indiana 1.09 86 39 3-1 4-8 74. UNLV 0.77 79 56 3-1 7-5 75. Tulsa 0.52 76 62 2-2 6-6 76. Kent St -0.22 88 48 1-3 8-4 77. Liberty -0.66 78 75 3-1 9-3 78. Arizona -0.78 75 79 2-2 4-8 79. Troy -0.83 82 72 2-2 8-4 80. Middle Tennessee St -0.89 83 68 3-1 9-3 81. Nebraska -1.28 66 110 1-3 3-9 82. Coastal Carolina -1.56 90 60 4-0 8-4 83. Southern Miss -2.16 77 90 2-2 7-5 84. San Jose St -2.36 84 86 2-1 8-4 85. Virginia Tech -2.84 81 95 2-2 3-9 86. Vanderbilt -3.24 95 66 3-2 3-9 87. Northern Illinois -3.38 93 74 1-3 9-3 88. Toledo -3.50 80 102 2-2 9-3 89. Florida Atlantic -3.53 87 88 2-3 6-6 90. Duke -4.21 102 53 3-1 6-6 91. Old Dominion -4.60 92 87 2-2 4-8 92. Arizona St -4.89 73 123 1-3 2-10 93. San Diego St -4.91 85 107 2-2 6-6 94. Wyoming -5.85 100 77 3-2 8-4 95. Rutgers -5.93 89 111 3-1 3-9 96. Louisiana-Lafayette -6.29 94 101 2-2 5-7 97. Arkansas St -6.88 105 82 1-3 4-8 98. Central Michigan -7.15 98 93 1-3 7-5 99. Miami OH -7.28 101 89 2-2 6-6 100. Georgia Southern -7.67 99 98 3-1 3-9 101. Buffalo -7.77 108 80 1-3 5-7 102. Boston College -7.98 91 121 1-3 2-10 103. Northwestern -8.20 103 97 1-3 1-11 104. Rice -8.39 106 94 2-2 5-7 105. South Florida -8.82 96 115 1-3 2-10 106. UTEP -9.02 97 112 2-3 4-8 107. Bowling Green -9.08 107 100 1-3 6-6 108. Georgia St -10.30 104 113 0-4 2-10 109. North Texas -10.55 112 99 2-3 5-7 110. New Mexico -10.68 111 103 2-2 4-8 111. Navy -11.75 117 96 1-2 2-10 112. Western Michigan -12.12 110 116 0-4 3-9 113. Louisiana Tech -12.34 109 118 1-3 4-8 114. Utah St -12.55 116 104 1-3 4-8 115. Colorado -12.63 115 109 0-4 0-12 116. Georgia Tech -13.13 113 119 1-3 1-11 117. Eastern Michigan -13.70 114 120 2-2 4-8 118. Nevada -14.37 119 106 2-3 4-8 119. Ohio U. -15.00 120 108 2-2 3-9 120. Ball St -15.27 118 122 2-2 5-7 121. Louisiana-Monroe -15.91 122 105 2-2 3-9 122. Colorado St -16.59 121 114 0-4 1-11 123. Temple -18.82 123 117 2-2 2-10 124. UNC-Charlotte -20.51 125 125 1-4 2-10 125. Connecticut -20.87 126 126 1-4 3-9 126. Akron -21.31 124 127 1-3 1-11 127. New Mexico St -22.08 128 124 1-4 4-8 128. Texas St-San Marcos -22.64 127 128 2-2 2-10 129. Massachusetts -31.14 129 130 1-3 1-11 130. Hawai`i -31.70 130 129 1-4 1-12 131. Florida Int'l -48.46 131 131 1-2 1-11
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