Bayesian update of pre-season ratings based on results through 9/10/2022 (week 2). Projected records based on resultant ratings.
Rnk Team Pre Wk1 Wk2 Rec-Proj Rating 1. Georgia 1 1 1 12-0 37.30 2. Ohio State 2 2 2 12-0 32.46 3. Alabama 3 3 3 12-0 30.99 4. Michigan 4 4 4 11-1 27.15 5. Tennessee 7 6 5 10-2 23.54 6. Utah 8 11 6 10-2 22.11 7. Oklahoma 6 7 7 12-0 21.31 8. Cincinnati 15 16 8 11-1 20.41 9. Brigham Young 13 9 9 11-1 20.21 10. Notre Dame 5 5 10 9-3 20.03 11. Oregon 26 36 11 11-1 20.01 12. Penn State 14 10 12 10-2 19.93 13. North Carolina St 10 12 13 11-1 19.93 14. Michigan St 12 15 14 9-3 19.90 15. Mississippi St 16 13 15 8-4 19.47 16. Clemson 9 8 16 11-1 18.63 17. Mississippi 19 27 17 9-3 18.22 18. Purdue 25 24 18 10-2 17.74 19. Texas 23 25 19 8-4 17.56 20. Oklahoma St 11 17 20 9-3 17.54 21. Kentucky 22 23 21 9-3 17.01 22. Baylor 35 26 22 9-3 16.97 23. Minnesota 29 31 23 10-2 16.65 24. Kansas St 40 32 24 9-3 16.60 25. Arkansas 32 21 25 9-3 16.17 26. Pittsburgh 21 29 26 10-2 15.49 27. Texas A&M 18 14 27 8-4 14.90 28. Miami FL 24 20 28 10-2 14.66 29. TCU 36 30 29 8-4 13.93 30. Oregon St 41 33 30 10-2 13.73 31. Iowa 17 19 31 7-5 13.52 32. Syracuse 47 35 32 6-6 13.35 33. Florida St 31 34 33 7-5 13.25 34. Wisconsin 20 18 34 6-6 12.68 35. Boise St 28 37 35 9-3 11.32 36. Auburn 27 28 36 5-7 11.24 37. Wake Forest 42 43 37 8-4 11.22 38. Louisville 30 41 38 7-5 11.11 39. Air Force 56 48 39 12-0 10.54 40. Iowa St 46 50 40 6-6 10.52 41. North Carolina 37 40 41 7-5 10.21 42. LSU 38 39 42 3-9 10.20 43. Florida 43 38 43 7-5 10.16 44. Southern Cal 60 51 44 8-4 9.80 45. SMU 39 22 45 9-3 9.61 46. Houston 48 46 46 9-3 9.20 47. Maryland 49 54 47 6-6 8.45 48. Fresno St 34 47 48 9-3 8.44 49. South Carolina 50 45 49 5-7 8.43 50. Washington 59 58 50 7-5 8.13 51. Appalachian St 58 60 51 10-2 7.42 52. UCLA 44 42 52 9-3 7.17 53. Texas Tech 54 53 53 4-8 6.94 54. Texas-San Antonio 45 49 54 10-2 6.69 55. Marshall 77 67 55 12-0 6.25 56. Nebraska 33 44 56 4-8 5.77 57. East Carolina 63 57 57 9-3 5.70 58. Arizona St 55 56 58 7-5 5.22 59. Central Florida 53 55 59 8-4 5.19 60. Illinois 66 65 60 4-8 4.49 61. Missouri 51 52 61 4-8 4.45 62. Virginia Tech 57 64 62 7-5 4.14 63. Washington St 64 74 63 6-6 2.63 64. James Madison 84 69 64 8-3 2.26 65. Alabama-Birmingham 67 59 65 9-3 2.15 66. California 61 62 66 5-7 1.78 67. Stanford 52 61 67 2-10 1.55 68. Louisiana-Lafayette 78 72 68 10-2 1.43 69. Memphis 71 70 69 6-6 1.43 70. Toledo 62 75 70 11-1 1.41 71. West Virginia 70 63 71 1-11 1.32 72. Tulane 82 80 72 6-6 0.42 73. Rutgers 68 66 73 4-8 0.31 74. Kansas 80 77 74 3-9 -0.54 75. Georgia St 69 73 75 6-6 -1.00 76. Liberty 79 82 76 8-4 -1.46 77. Western Kentucky 74 76 77 9-4 -1.75 78. Boston College 73 71 78 3-9 -2.26 79. Virginia 72 68 79 5-7 -2.64 80. Arizona 91 78 80 2-10 -2.72 81. Army 81 87 81 8-4 -3.19 82. San Diego St 65 84 82 6-6 -3.20 83. Indiana 85 83 83 3-9 -4.21 84. South Alabama 109 95 84 10-2 -4.89 85. Old Dominion 90 86 85 4-8 -5.30 86. Florida Atlantic 107 103 86 7-5 -5.39 87. Northwestern 89 79 87 2-10 -6.55 88. South Florida 75 81 88 2-10 -6.65 89. UNLV 98 96 89 6-6 -6.67 90. Vanderbilt 102 89 90 2-10 -6.78 91. San Jose St 96 104 91 9-3 -6.93 92. Northern Illinois 76 92 92 8-4 -7.29 93. Western Michigan 97 94 93 6-6 -7.30 94. Troy 87 85 94 5-7 -7.32 95. Colorado 83 91 95 0-12 -8.23 96. Southern Miss 103 101 96 4-8 -8.84 97. Georgia Southern 114 109 97 3-9 -9.01 98. Coastal Carolina 92 88 98 6-6 -9.23 99. Tulsa 94 100 99 5-7 -9.29 100. North Texas 93 97 100 5-7 -9.34 101. Louisiana Tech 112 115 101 6-6 -9.55 102. Central Michigan 104 93 102 6-6 -10.19 103. Colorado St 86 90 103 5-7 -10.91 104. Georgia Tech 105 107 104 2-10 -11.04 105. Arkansas St 122 114 105 4-8 -11.56 106. Kent St 106 110 106 6-6 -11.74 107. Miami OH 101 98 107 6-6 -11.82 108. New Mexico 119 108 108 4-8 -11.94 109. UTEP 95 105 109 5-7 -12.32 110. Bowling Green 100 106 110 4-8 -12.51 111. Duke 123 117 111 3-9 -12.53 112. Eastern Michigan 99 102 112 6-6 -12.67 113. Middle Tennessee St 110 120 113 4-8 -13.15 114. Utah St 88 99 114 3-9 -13.65 115. Ohio U. 116 112 115 5-7 -14.09 116. Buffalo 113 111 116 2-10 -16.01 117. Rice 120 125 117 2-10 -16.23 118. Ball St 111 116 118 4-8 -16.47 119. Wyoming 117 119 119 4-8 -16.51 120. Nevada 121 113 120 3-9 -16.62 121. Navy 108 118 121 1-11 -18.91 122. New Mexico St 124 123 122 4-8 -20.97 123. Louisiana-Monroe 129 127 123 2-10 -21.51 124. Connecticut 126 122 124 3-9 -22.30 125. Akron 118 121 125 1-11 -22.36 126. UNC-Charlotte 115 124 126 1-11 -23.94 127. Texas St-San Marcos 127 128 127 2-10 -24.53 128. Massachusetts 125 126 128 0-12 -27.71 129. Temple 128 129 129 2-10 -27.78 130. Hawai`i 130 130 130 0-12 -32.47 131. Florida Int'l 131 131 131 1-11 -40.96
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