Bayesian update of pre-season ratings based on results through 9/5/2022 (week 1). Projected records based on resultant ratings.
Rnk Team Pre Week1 Rec(Proj) Rating 1. Georgia 1 1 12-0 42.86 2. Ohio State 2 2 12-0 36.09 3. Alabama 3 3 12-0 33.22 4. Michigan 4 4 11-1 31.43 5. Notre Dame 5 5 11-1 25.60 6. Tennessee 7 6 10-2 24.68 7. Oklahoma 6 7 12-0 22.94 8. Clemson 9 8 11-1 22.17 9. Brigham Young 13 9 11-1 21.90 10. Penn State 14 10 10-2 20.31 11. Utah 8 11 11-1 20.22 12. North Carolina St 10 12 11-1 18.82 13. Mississippi St 16 13 8-4 18.64 14. Texas A&M 18 14 10-2 18.39 15. Michigan St 12 15 9-3 18.34 16. Cincinnati 15 16 10-2 17.27 17. Oklahoma St 11 17 9-3 17.25 18. Wisconsin 20 18 9-3 16.82 19. Iowa 17 19 8-4 15.90 20. Miami FL 24 20 10-2 15.65 21. Arkansas 32 21 7-5 15.48 22. SMU 39 22 12-0 15.40 23. Kentucky 22 23 9-3 15.35 24. Purdue 25 24 8-4 15.34 25. Texas 23 25 8-4 15.33 26. Baylor 35 26 9-3 15.29 27. Mississippi 19 27 9-3 15.27 28. Auburn 27 28 6-6 14.66 29. Pittsburgh 21 29 10-2 14.35 30. TCU 36 30 8-4 14.29 31. Minnesota 29 31 9-3 14.23 32. Kansas St 40 32 8-4 13.51 33. Oregon St 41 33 11-1 13.42 34. Florida St 31 34 7-5 13.25 35. Syracuse 47 35 7-5 12.89 36. Oregon 26 36 8-4 12.73 37. Boise St 28 37 10-2 12.01 38. Florida 43 38 7-5 11.82 39. LSU 38 39 3-9 10.96 40. North Carolina 37 40 7-5 10.39 41. Louisville 30 41 7-5 10.22 42. UCLA 44 42 10-2 9.96 43. Wake Forest 42 43 8-4 9.84 44. Nebraska 33 44 5-7 9.59 45. South Carolina 50 45 5-7 9.12 46. Houston 48 46 10-2 8.89 47. Fresno St 34 47 9-3 8.75 48. Air Force 56 48 11-1 8.36 49. Texas-San Antonio 45 49 10-2 8.28 50. Iowa St 46 50 5-7 8.14 51. Southern Cal 60 51 8-4 7.73 52. Missouri 51 52 4-8 7.54 53. Texas Tech 54 53 4-8 7.25 54. Maryland 49 54 5-7 6.92 55. Central Florida 53 55 8-4 6.08 56. Arizona St 55 56 6-6 5.51 57. East Carolina 63 57 8-4 4.83 58. Washington 59 58 6-6 4.44 59. Alabama-Birmingham 67 59 10-2 3.93 60. Appalachian St 58 60 9-3 3.93 61. Stanford 52 61 3-9 3.62 62. California 61 62 7-5 3.27 63. West Virginia 70 63 2-10 2.66 64. Virginia Tech 57 64 7-5 2.37 65. Illinois 66 65 4-8 1.89 66. Rutgers 68 66 4-8 1.31 67. Marshall 77 67 10-2 0.69 68. Virginia 72 68 5-7 -0.05 69. James Madison 84 69 9-2 -0.21 70. Memphis 71 70 6-6 -0.36 71. Boston College 73 71 3-9 -0.48 72. Louisiana-Lafayette 78 72 10-2 -1.17 73. Georgia St 69 73 7-5 -1.18 74. Washington St 64 74 2-10 -1.51 75. Toledo 62 75 10-2 -1.69 76. Western Kentucky 74 76 9-4 -1.75 77. Kansas 80 77 2-10 -1.88 78. Arizona 91 78 3-9 -1.89 79. Northwestern 89 79 4-8 -2.18 80. Tulane 82 80 5-7 -2.31 81. South Florida 75 81 4-8 -2.93 82. Liberty 79 82 6-6 -3.24 83. Indiana 85 83 3-9 -3.25 84. San Diego St 65 84 7-5 -3.41 85. Troy 87 85 7-5 -4.31 86. Old Dominion 90 86 5-7 -4.43 87. Army 81 87 6-6 -4.79 88. Coastal Carolina 92 88 7-5 -5.30 89. Vanderbilt 102 89 2-10 -5.40 90. Colorado St 86 90 8-4 -5.73 91. Colorado 83 91 0-12 -6.05 92. Northern Illinois 76 92 7-5 -6.92 93. Central Michigan 104 93 7-5 -7.13 94. Western Michigan 97 94 6-6 -7.63 95. South Alabama 109 95 6-6 -7.94 96. UNLV 98 96 5-7 -8.16 97. North Texas 93 97 6-6 -9.15 98. Miami OH 101 98 7-5 -9.30 99. Utah St 88 99 6-6 -9.57 100. Tulsa 94 100 4-8 -9.67 101. Southern Miss 103 101 5-7 -9.83 102. Eastern Michigan 99 102 7-5 -10.07 103. Florida Atlantic 107 103 5-7 -10.34 104. San Jose St 96 104 5-6 -10.34 105. UTEP 95 105 7-5 -11.03 106. Bowling Green 100 106 6-6 -11.11 107. Georgia Tech 105 107 2-10 -11.13 108. New Mexico 119 108 4-8 -12.63 109. Georgia Southern 114 109 2-10 -12.83 110. Kent St 106 110 5-7 -13.38 111. Buffalo 113 111 4-8 -14.11 112. Ohio U. 116 112 5-7 -14.47 113. Nevada 121 113 3-9 -14.75 114. Arkansas St 122 114 4-8 -15.19 115. Louisiana Tech 112 115 5-7 -15.37 116. Ball St 111 116 3-9 -16.14 117. Duke 123 117 2-10 -16.90 118. Navy 108 118 1-11 -17.12 119. Wyoming 117 119 3-9 -17.76 120. Middle Tennessee St 110 120 3-9 -18.33 121. Akron 118 121 1-11 -20.80 122. Connecticut 126 122 3-9 -21.83 123. New Mexico St 124 123 3-9 -22.26 124. UNC-Charlotte 115 124 1-11 -22.41 125. Rice 120 125 1-11 -23.34 126. Massachusetts 125 126 3-9 -24.61 127. Louisiana-Monroe 129 127 1-11 -26.77 128. Texas St-San Marcos 127 128 2-10 -26.80 129. Temple 128 129 1-11 -29.02 130. Hawai`i 130 130 0-12 -36.75 131. Florida Int'l 131 131 1-11 -38.69
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