This is the Week 10 update of our projection for the final BCS standings of the year; that is, after conference championship games have been played on the final weekend. We use our pre-season rankings and strictly follow the game-by-game picks* to determine the projected record and resulting ranking. We update them with the actual results each week and see how things change. *With the exception that currently undefeated, bowl-eligible teams are automatically projected to win out.
SportsRatings Projected End-of-Season 2012 BCS Standings: week 10 (Nov. 3) results included
| Previous Projection Finish |
Projected 12/02/12 Finish |
Team | Projected 12/02/12 Record |
Current Record |
Current BCS Rank |
Win Out Rank |
Projected BCS Bowl |
| 1 | 1 | Alabama | 13-0 | 9-0 | 1 | 1 | BCS Title |
| 2 | 2 | Oregon | 13-0 | 9-0 | 3 | 2 | BCS Title |
| 3 | 3 | Notre Dame | 12-0 | 9-0 | 4 | 3 | Fiesta |
| 4 | 4 | Kansas St | 12-0 | 9-0 | 2 | 4 | Fiesta |
| 5 | 5 | Florida St | 12-1 | 8-1 | 10 | 5 | Orange |
| 6 | 6 | Florida | 10-2 | 8-1 | 6 | 5 | Sugar |
| 7 | 7 | Louisville | 12-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 7 | Orange |
| 10 | 8 | LSU | 10-2 | 7-2 | 7 | 8 | |
| 8 | 9 | Oklahoma | 10-2 | 6-2 | 12 | 9 | Sugar |
| 9 | 10 | Clemson | 11-1 | 8-1 | 13 | 10 | |
| 11 | 11 | Georgia | 11-2 | 8-1 | 5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stanford | 9-3 | 7-2 | 14 | 5 | Rose |
| 13 | 13 | Nebraska | 10-3 | 7-2 | 16 | 7 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wisconsin | 10-3 | 6-3 | -- | 14 | Rose |
| 17 | 15 | Oregon St | 9-3 | 7-1 | 11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 16 | Texas A&M | 9-3 | 7-2 | 15 | 7 | |
| 15 | 17 | Michigan | 9-3 | 6-3 | -- | 17 | |
| 19 | 18 | South Carolina | 9-3 | 7-2 | 8 | 9 | |
| 20 | 19 | Louisiana Tech | 11-1 | 8-1 | 20 | 19 | |
| 21 | 20 | Southern Cal | 8-5 | 6-3 | 19 | 6 | |
| 22 | 21 | Texas | 9-3 | 7-2 | 17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 22 | Boise St | 10-2 | 7-2 | -- | 22 | |
| 23 | 23 | Oklahoma St | 8-4 | 5-3 | -- | 20 | |
| 24 | 24 | UCLA | 8-4 | 7-2 | 18 | 5 | |
| -- | 25 | Ohio U. | 12-1 | 8-1 | -- | 25 |
Alabama and Notre Dame escaped with wins last week and Oregon stayed ahead of USC, while Kansas State and Louisville had an easier time. There was no change in our projected top 7 teams. Oregon became an even more solid #2 as their year-end computer ranking could be the equal of Alabama's if not better. Notre Dame's computer composite will remain strong but their narrow win over Pitt further underscores how much ground they'd have to gain up in the polls. And Kansas State's computer ranking will ease a bit as other teams play tougher games, and they have little chance of passing the top two in the human polls.
The Florida/FSU winner should finish #5, and either way Florida goes to the Sugar Bowl. Their opponent should be either Oklahoma or Clemson, depending on style points and who that bowl wants. The Big Ten is still up in the air but Wisconsin and Nebraska have the inside track to the title game.
After Boise State's loss the chance of a BCS buster is almost nil. Louisiana Tech won't gain much at all from their current #20 and at least one Big Ten and Big East team should be ahead of them. Ohio jumps into the projection but even winning out doesn't get them near the top 16.|
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