SportsRatings: College Basketball

2014-2015 Pre-season Dance Chance - NCAA tournament odds

The college basketball season is here (it's already started with early games today) and we've produced the first Dance Chance of the year. We're putting it here to preserve the seedings for future reference.

With no game results yet, we're going completely by our pre-season rankings. The other elements the Dance Chance uses—RPI, wins against top 25, etc.—don't factor in, so what we've got is essentially a Strength-based seeding. The Dance Chance odds correspond to a team's chances of getting an at-large bid. If every team plays to their potential, here's how it should end up—assuming we've ranked all the teams correctly :)

2014-2015 pre-season Dance Chance

#	Proj Seed	Team	Conference	Div I record	Conf record	RPI rank	STR rank	Wins comp	Dance Chance	Seed Chg
1	1	Arizona	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	1	0.0	94.5
2	1	Louisville	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	2	0.0	93.6
3	1	Kentucky	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	3	0.0	92.8
4	1	Virginia	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	4	0.0	91.9
5	2	Wisconsin	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	5	0.0	91.1
6	2	Kansas	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	6	0.0	90.3
7	2	North Carolina	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	7	0.0	89.4
8	2	Villanova	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	8	0.0	88.6
9	3	Duke	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	9	0.0	87.7
10	3	Texas	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	10	0.0	86.9
11	3	Oklahoma	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	11	0.0	86.0
12	3	Florida	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	12	0.0	85.2

Here we have the top seeds: Arizona, Louisville, Kentucky, and Virginia. Obviously the winners of the Pac-12, ACC, and SEC are in good position for a #1 seed, but it's more likely the final #1 seed would go to the Big Ten or Big Twelve winner—Wisconsin and Kansas State in our projections—than the #2 ACC team. So Virginia might be a 2-seed even if they're the #4 team in the nation and play that way.

North Carolina and Duke make it four ACC teams among the top 3 seeds. Villanova is our Big East favorite but not a top seed contender, while Texas and Oklahoma represent the Big Twelve well. Florida is a distant #2 to Kentucky in the SEC and a borderline 3-seed contender.

#	Proj Seed	Team	Conference	Div I record	Conf record	RPI rank	STR rank	Wins comp	Dance Chance	Seed Chg
13	4	Wichita St.	MVC	0-0	0-0	n/a	13	0.0	84.3
14	4	VCU	Atlantic 10	0-0	0-0	n/a	14	0.0	83.5
15	4	Michigan	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	15	0.0	82.6
16	4	Iowa	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	16	0.0	81.8
17	5	Gonzaga	West Coast	0-0	0-0	n/a	17	0.0	81.0
18	5	Connecticut	American	0-0	0-0	n/a	18	0.0	80.1
19	5	San Diego St.	Mtn West	0-0	0-0	n/a	19	0.0	79.3
20	5	Pittsburgh	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	20	0.0	78.4
21	6	Michigan St.	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	21	0.0	77.6
22	6	Utah	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	22	0.0	76.7
23	6	UCLA	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	23	0.0	75.9
24	6	Oklahoma St.	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	24	0.0	75.0
25	7	Iowa St.	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	25	0.0	74.2
26	7	Baylor	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	26	0.0	73.1
27	7	Tennessee	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	27	0.0	71.8
28	7	Stanford	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	28	0.0	70.4

The Mid-Majors move in around the 4-seed mark, led by Wichita State and VCU of the Missouri Valley and Atlantic 10. Then Gonzaga follows as the top 5-seed, joined by San Diego State of the Mountain West. Also on the 4-line are Big Ten teams Michigan and Iowa, and at the 5-seed are defending national champ UConn and the ACC's Pitt.

The Pac-12 and Big Twelve dominate the 6- and 7-seeds with three teams each: Utah, UCLA, and Stanford represent the west, while the Big Twelve has three teams in a row, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and Baylor. Michigan State is the fourth Big Ten team listed, while Tennessee is SEC #3.

#	Proj Seed	Team	Conference	Div I record	Conf record	RPI rank	STR rank	Wins comp	Dance Chance	Seed Chg
29	8	BYU	West Coast	0-0	0-0	n/a	29	0.0	69.1
30	8	Ohio St.	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	30	0.0	67.7
31	8	Nebraska	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	31	0.0	66.4
32	8	SMU	American	0-0	0-0	n/a	32	0.0	65.0
33	9	Creighton	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	33	0.0	63.7
34	9	Syracuse	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	34	0.0	62.3
35	9	Arkansas	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	35	0.0	61.0
36	9	Kansas St.	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	36	0.0	59.6
37	10	Oregon	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	37	0.0	58.3
38	10	St. John's	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	38	0.0	57.0
39	10	New Mexico	Mtn West	0-0	0-0	n/a	39	0.0	55.6
40	10	Minnesota	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	40	0.0	54.3
41	11	Cincinnati	American	0-0	0-0	n/a	41	0.0	52.9
42	11	Maryland	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	42	0.0	51.6
43	11	Providence	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	43	0.0	50.2

Seeds 8 through 11 aren't too interesting, just more teams from the already-established conferences. BYU is WCC team #2, while Ohio State, Nebraska, Minnesota, and Maryland give the Big Ten eight teams in the Big Dance.

SMU and Cincy bolster the American, while Creighton, St. John's, and Providence argue for the Big East as a true Major conference. Both leagues are on the borderline of "Major" designation, but have good arguments for that status—and the American boasts the defending national champ.

Syracuse is the ACC's 6th team, Arkansas the SEC's 4th, Kansas State the Big Twelve's 7th, and Oregon the Pac-12's 5th. New Mexico is the Mountain West's #2 team as a 10-seed.

#	Proj Seed	Team	Conference	Div I record	Conf record	RPI rank	STR rank	Wins comp	Dance Chance	Seed Chg
44	11	Harvard	Ivy League	0-0	0-0	n/a	44	0.0	48.9
45	12	Tulsa	American	0-0	0-0	n/a	45	0.0	47.5
46	12	Georgia	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	46	0.0	46.2
47	12	George Washington	Atlantic 10	0-0	0-0	n/a	47	0.0	44.8
48	12	Louisiana Tech	C-USA	0-0	0-0	n/a	48	0.0	43.5
49	12	Florida St.	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	49	0.0	42.2
50		Clemson	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	50	0.0	40.8
51		Indiana	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	51	0.0	39.5
52		Illinois	Big Ten	0-0	0-0	n/a	52	0.0	38.1
53		Georgetown	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	53	0.0	36.8
54		Saint Joseph's	Atlantic 10	0-0	0-0	n/a	54	0.0	35.4
55		Xavier	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	55	0.0	34.1
56		North Carolina St.	ACC	0-0	0-0	n/a	56	0.0	32.7
57		Memphis	American	0-0	0-0	n/a	57	0.0	31.4
58		West Virginia	Big 12	0-0	0-0	n/a	58	0.0	30.0
59		Arizona St.	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	59	0.0	28.7
60		Colorado	Pac-12	0-0	0-0	n/a	60	0.0	27.4
61		Seton Hall	Big East	0-0	0-0	n/a	61	0.0	26.0
62		LSU	SEC	0-0	0-0	n/a	62	0.0	24.7

Now, the bubble, which starts where the Dance Chance falls below 50% (pre-season, there are long tails for lower-ranked teams, so some teams that are "in" are still under 50%). Harvard as the last 11-seed, and Louisiana Tech as a 12-seed would probably get an at-large bid, but it's touchy. Harvard, of course, has no conference tournament so finishing #2 in the Ivy probably won't cut it. And the Bulldogs were in the same situation last year and didn't get a bid after losing in the C-USA tourney.

Tulsa, Georgia, George Washington, and Florida State make up our last four in and would play in Dayton under this scenario. Right behind FSU is Clemson, giving the ACC two very on-the-cusp bubble teams, and the Big Ten has two that follow (Indiana and Illinois).

Three Big East teams are just outside the brackets: Georgetown, Xavier, and Seton Hall. And of course there's an assortment of mostly Major conference teams hoping to get a bid rather than be relegated to the NIT, but right now these lower teams all look like high NIT seeds. Thus St. Joe's, North Carolina State, and Memphis look like NIT 2-seeds, with West Virginia, Arizona State, and Colorado as 3-seeds, and LSU maybe a 4-seed.

As for the other conferences, here are the projected conference champions. Again, the Dance Chance percentage is the team's odds of earning an at-large bid. It's generous in the pre-season, but lower than the team's odds of making the NCAA tournament by way of winning their conference.

#	Proj Seed	Team	Conference	Div I record	Conf record	RPI rank	STR rank	Wins comp	Dance Chance	Seed Chg
63	12	Georgia St.	Sun Belt	0-0	0-0	n/a	63	0.0	23.3
73	13	Iona	Metro Atl	0-0	0-0	n/a	73	0.0	13.6
75	13	North Dakota St.	Summit	0-0	0-0	n/a	75	0.0	12.1
87	13	Vermont	America East	0-0	0-0	n/a	87	0.0	8.6
88	13	Murray St.	Ohio Valley	0-0	0-0	n/a	88	0.0	8.3
91	14	Stephen F. Austin	Southland	0-0	0-0	n/a	91	0.0	7.5
92	14	UC Irvine	Big West	0-0	0-0	n/a	92	0.0	7.3
94	14	Green Bay	Horizon	0-0	0-0	n/a	94	0.0	6.7
95	14	New Mexico St.	WAC	0-0	0-0	n/a	95	0.0	6.5
101	15	Buffalo	MAC	0-0	0-0	n/a	101	0.0	5.2
104	15	Southern Utah	Big Sky	0-0	0-0	n/a	104	0.0	5.1
110	15	North Carolina Central	Mid-Eastern	0-0	0-0	n/a	110	0.0	5.0
119	15	American	Patriot	0-0	0-0	n/a	119	0.0	4.8
122	16	Mercer	Southern	0-0	0-0	n/a	122	0.0	4.7
135	16	Delaware	Colonial Ath	0-0	0-0	n/a	135	0.0	4.5
157	16	Florida Gulf Coast	Atlantic Sun	0-0	0-0	n/a	157	0.0	4.0
177	16	High Point	Big South	0-0	0-0	n/a	177	0.0	3.6
180	16	Robert Morris	Northeast	0-0	0-0	n/a	180	0.0	3.6
289	16	Texas Southern	SW Athletic	0-0	0-0	n/a	289	0.0	1.3

But there's a lot of basketball left to play—in fact, the whole season! Bring it on.

 

2014-2015 Pre-season rankings: #1 to #351

The SportsRatings 2014-15 pre-season College Basketball Top 351 is live.

The purpose of these pre-season rankings is mostly to have something to average with the early weeks of the Strength power rating to make more reasonable early-season ratings. It's also because making a pre-season top 351 can be a lot of fun, if you use a method that doesn't take too much work. If you want rankings that took a lot more work, see Hanner's or Pomeroy's in the links below.

These rankings are based on the team's performance last year (Strength power rating), their returning roster, and new recruits/transfers. The simplicity of this system, and any errors in the application of those three heuristics, will be responsible for the inevitable misrankings you find. Again, if you don't like where your team is, see Hanner (SI) or Pomeroy's ratings. Note: TeamRankings.com just posted their top 351, too.

Key: These are the data points presented with each team:

• LY Str: Last year's Strength power rating rank
• Return Talent: A calculation of the team's returning roster, based on how well the team did last year—weighted toward play in the 2nd half of the season—and who is back. In some cases, a much more "talented" returning roster might rank below a less purely talented one that performed better last season.
• New Talent: An estimation of the quality of this year's incoming freshmen and transfers. This becomes less exacting as the ranking goes up; that is, the difference between the #1 class and #50 class is much greater than #201 and #250. In fact, after #300 every team is listed as "#301+"
• SI: Dan Hanner's pre-season rankings for Sports Illustrated. For comparison only, not used in calculation
• POM: Ken Pomeroy's pre-season rankings. Again, not used in calculations
• AP, USA: The pre-season AP and Coaches' polls, where applicable

 

SportsRatings' pre-season College Basketball Top 351 for the 2014-2015 season:

1. Arizona (P12 #1)  LY Str:#2  Talent: [Return:#3  New:#6]  SI:#2 POM:#5 AP:#2 USA:#2
   The Wildcats were a basket away from the Final Four and were #1 in Strength for much of last year before losing F Brandon Ashley for the season in February. He's back along with starting F Kaleb Tarczewski, F Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, and senior PG T.J. McConnell. The 'Cats do lose their top two scorers, G Nick Johnson and F Aaron Gordon, but they bring in a top ten recruiting class led by 5-star G Stanley Johnson. It's enough to make Arizona our pre-season #1, while several others (Sports Illustrated, the sportswriters, and coaches) have them coming up just a notch short.
2. Louisville (ACC #1)  LY Str:#1  Talent: [Return:#5  New:#7]  SI:#7 POM:#3 AP:#8 USA:#9
   They didn't make it past the Sweet Sixteen but the Cardinals were #1 in Strength on average for the 2013-14 season, but they switch places with Arizona as they lose just a bit more off last year's squad than the Wildcats do. Gone are first team All-American and leading scorer Russ Smith, #3 scorer G Luke Hancock, and #2 rebounder Stephan Van Treese. But Louisville gave 9 players significant time in the rotation last year, and with a base of F Montrezl Harrell (#2 scorer, #1 rebounder) and guards Chris Jones and Wayne Blackshear joined by a strong 6-player recruiting class the Cardinals will have enviably depth, to say the least.
3. Kentucky (SEC #1)  LY Str:#15  Talent: [Return:#11  New:#1]  SI:#1 POM:#2 AP:#1 USA:#1
   After Kentucky finished 2nd in the NCAA tournament this might look like a downgrade, but for most of the year UK wasn't that great, and finished just #15 in Strength. They lose their two leading scorers, Julius Randle and James Young, from that team but the Harrison twins, Aaron and Andrew, are back and both averaged double figures for the 'Cats. Forwards Willie Cauley-Stein, Alex Pythress, and Dakari Johnson will help make up for Randle's lost rebounds. And of course the Wildcats bring in another insane recruiting class with 5-stars Karl-Anthony Towns (C), Trey Lyles (PF), Tyler Ulis (PG), and Devin Booker (SG). They're #1 or #2 with everyone else and it's easy to see why as even their 2nd "platoon" might be national contenders this year.
4. Virginia (ACC #2)  LY Str:#10  Talent: [Return:#2  New:#47]  SI:#9 POM:#8 AP:#9 USA:#8
   The Cavaliers earned a 1-seed with very strong play in the 2nd half of the season before bowing out of the tournament early. It's that late, pre-tourney play that pushes Virginia near the top of our forecast. The Cavs lose #2 scorer Joe Harris and top rebounder Akil Mitchell but the other 5 players in their main 7-man rotation are back including leading scorer G Malcolm Brodgon and PG London Perrantes. Their recruiting class contains only one consensus 4-star but new talent isn't expected to carry the load for the Cavaliers this season. They play one of the slowest tempos in the country but they do it well and are rated in the top ten across the board.
5. Wisconsin (B10 #1)  LY Str:#5  Talent: [Return:#1  New:#154]  SI:#3 POM:#6 AP:#3 USA:#4
   Virginia is #2 in returning talent but Wisconsin is far ahead, returning almost everyone from last year's Final Four squad. It's a good thing as the Badgers hardly have a recruiting class to show this year (one player). Back are 7-foot senior F Frank Kaminski, who led the team in scoring and rebounds; F Sam Dekker and G Traevon Jackson, who also averaged double figures; sophomore F Nigel Hayes; and defensive and 3-pt specialist John Gasser. In fact the only one gone from last year is G Ben Brust, who was 2nd on the team in scoring. Is Wisconsin good enough to make a return trip to the Final Four? SI, AP, and the coaches think so, and we think they'll be the top team in the Big Ten at least.
6. Kansas (B12 #1)  LY Str:#4  Talent: [Return:#10  New:#9]  SI:#5 POM:#4 AP:#5 USA:#5
   KU had Final Four talent last year but loses a good-sized chunk of that with the departure of  Andrew Wiggins and Joel Embiid, the #1 and #3 NBA draft picks. They also lose starting PG Naadir Tharpe. Forwards Perry Ellis and Wayne Selden (#2 and #4 scorers) are back, however, and the Jayhawks add a strong class that includes 5-star recruits Cliff Alexander (PF) and Kelly Oubre (SG). As usual, Kansas will be the favorite in the Big Twelve and compete for the national title as well.
7. North Carolina (ACC #3)  LY Str:#29  Talent: [Return:#8  New:#19]  SI:#11 POM:#20 AP:#6 USA:#6
   The Tar Heels had a strong 2nd half of the season and return the bulk of their roster, led by PG Marcus Paige who averaged 17.5 ppg., and forwards J.P. Tokoto, Brice Johnson, and Kennedy Meeks, the team's #4, 5, and 6 scorers and the #2 thru #4 rebounders. Though they lose #2 and #3 scorers James Michael McAdoo and Leslie McDonald, McAdoo was a 54% free throw shooter and McDonald hit just 31% of his threes. The Tar Heels signed three solid recruits, including consensus 5-stars Justin Jackson and Theo Pinson, both forwards.
8. Villanova (BigE #1)  LY Str:#11  Talent: [Return:#4  New:#70]  SI:#8 POM:#9 AP:#12 USA:#12
   The Wildcats are replete with returning starters, boasting four from last year's 2-seed squad. Back are G Darrun Hilliard and F JayVaughn Pinkston, who both averaged 14 points and change, and G Ryan Arcidiacono and F Daniel Ochefu. Guard Jay Hart played as much as a starter and was the #5 scorer; he's back, too. The big loss is G James Bell, who was #1 scorer and #2 rebounder, both by a sliver. But there's a lot of talent back, and the 'Cats add a few 4-star recruits for good measure; they should again be the cream of the new-wave Big East and compete for a high seed.
9. Duke (ACC #4)  LY Str:#6  Talent: [Return:#17  New:#2]  SI:#4 POM:#1 AP:#4 USA:#3
   The Blue Devils are #1 in Ken Pomeroy's projection, and a Final Four pick with the others. We have them a bit lower but still in the top ten. The main reason is that they lose quite a bit of firepower from last year, including leading scorer and rebounder Jabari Parker (19.1 ppg, 8.7 rebounds). Parker was The League's #2 pick, and #2 scorer Rodney Hood (16.1 ppg) also went in the first round. That's 35 ppg gone, even as Duke returns scorers 3 thru 5 in Quinn Cook, Rasheed Sulaimon, and Andre Dawkins. But the real hope for a title-contending team (both ACC and National) is the recruiting class which is 2nd only to Kentucky's, with three consensus 5-star players. 6-11 C Jahlil Okafor is the projected #1 draft pick on some sites, and PG Tyus Jones and F Justise Winslow are probable first-rounders.
10. Texas (B12 #2)  LY Str:#41  Talent: [Return:#6  New:#51]  SI:#12 POM:#19 AP:#10 USA:#10
    Texas wasn't great last year but they finished strong and they have almost everyone back for the 2014-15 season. Four double-figure scorers—forward Jonathan Holmes, guards Isaiah Taylor and Javan Felix, and center Cameron Ridley—are back on a team that loses just one reserve. With the returning talent there's not much need—nor space—for new faces, but the Longhorns add 5-star recruit Myles Turner at center and another 4-star to boot. And that sums up why Texas is a near-consensus top 10 pick after underachieving so much of last year.
11. Oklahoma (B12 #3)  LY Str:#25  Talent: [Return:#7  New:#52]  SI:#27 POM:#28 AP:#19 USA:#19
    If Kansas doesn't win the Big Twelve this year then look for Oklahoma to be right up there with Texas in contention for the title. The Sooners came on strong late last year before faltering in the post-season tournaments, and with most of the team back they approach our top ten. They lose starting guard Cameron Clark, the #2 scorer, but all four other starters return. Guards Buddy Heild, Isiah Cousins, and Jordan Woodard all averaged double figures and forward Ryan Spangler was just shy of it while averaging 9.3 rebounds. Oklahoma's recruiting class includes a couple of 4-star picks, and they also have Houston transfer TaShawn Thomas, whom we're assuming will not be eligible; if he is, they probably move ahead of Texas in the Big Twelve.
12. Florida (SEC #2)  LY Str:#3  Talent: [Return:#14  New:#24]  SI:#6 POM:#7 AP:#7 USA:#7
    We've knocked the Gators down a bit from last year's lofty perch as they've lost four starters, all seniors, from the Final Four squad. Casey Prather and Scottie Wilbekin were the top scorers, and Patrick Young averaged double figures, too, while Will Yeguete was an all-purpose contributor. That leaves #3 scorer Michael Frazier II, who shot 45% from the 3-line, to build the team around. But Florida's roster is loaded with high-profile recruits and more came in this year, including 5-star pick Devin Robinson, two 4-star recruits, plus Duke transfer Alex Murphy and Michigan transfer Jon Horford. Can the Gators hold off Kentucky and repeat as SEC champs?
13. Wichita St. (MVC #1)  LY Str:#17  Talent: [Return:#9  New:#76]  SI:#16 POM:#10 AP:#11 USA:#11
    The loss of Cleanthony Early can't be overstated; he averaged 16.4 ppg and 5.9 rebounds, leading the team in both measures, and in the Round of 32 loss to Kentucky he was easily the best player on the court. The Shockers' guard situation is solid, however, with Ron Baker, Fred VanVleet, and Tekele Cotton back; all averaged double figures and rebounded well. They round out the roster with a reasonably strong recruiting class, certainly for the Missouri Valley which they should once again have no trouble winning even if going 18-0 will be much harder. The Shockers actually rank higher than last year's #17 Strength finish and might be favored in every game on their schedule, but without Early they won't have the consistency to approach a 35-0 start.
14. VCU (A10 #1)  LY Str:#26  Talent: [Return:#13  New:#48]  SI:#18 POM:#17 AP:#15 USA:#16
    Right behind Wichita State, our #2 mid-major team is Virginia Commonwealth (the Atlantic 10 is more correctly a "near-major" conference). The Rams have a solid returning group and recruited well for '14, too. They lose #2 scorer and top rebounder Junvonte Reddic and #4 scorer Rob Brandenberg, but return their top scorer (and #2 rebounder), senior forward Treveon Graham (15.8 ppg). Guards Melvin Johnson and Briante Weber both averaged around 10 points per game. The Rams bring in four solid recruits including one consensus 4-star player, and could be better than last year overall. The other polls/ratings surveyed put VCU at #15, 16, 17, and 18, and we have them at #14, and far and away #1 in the Atlantic 10.
15. Michigan (B10 #2)  LY Str:#12  Talent: [Return:#15  New:#35]  SI:#24 POM:#15 AP:#24 USA:#23
    The Wolverines didn't quite match 2013's Final Four run last March but they have the talent to make another attempt. They'll have to do it without last year's Big Ten Player of the Year, Nik Stauskas (17.5 ppg) as well as Glenn Robinson III (#2 scorer) and leading rebounder Jordan Morgan (5.0/game). Mitch McGary is also gone, but he played only 8 games last year. Guards Caris Levert and Derrick Walton are back along with G/F Zac Irvin, so 3 of the top 5 scorers return and they add a solid crop of newcomers that includes two consensus 4-start small forwards. While the Wolverines don't figure to be quite as strong as last year without Stauskas and co., they will be a force in the wide-open Big Ten.
16. Iowa (B10 #3)  LY Str:#8  Talent: [Return:#12  New:#75]  SI:#20 POM:#31 AP:#28 USA:#25
    It may look like we're upgrading the Hawkeyes, but last year's team was around #3 in Strength for much of the year before a late-season slide dropped them to a still-inflated #8 and relegated them to the NCAA play-in game which they lost to Tennessee. They lose top scorer Devyn Marble and starting forward Melsahn Basabe, but return #2 scorer and top rebounder Aaron White, PG Mike Gesell, and C Adam Woodbury; in all, 9 players averaged more than 15 minutes and 6 of them are back. The Hawks added a trio of decent recruits and should be just as deep this year. If they can overcome the loss of Marble—and avoid another collapse—this year will be more successful than the last one.
17. Gonzaga (WCC #1)  LY Str:#22  Talent: [Return:#22  New:#23]  SI:#10 POM:#18 AP:#13 USA:#13
    The 'Zags are another candidate for top non-Major-conference team in 2014. Kevin Pangos and Sam Dower led the team with 14.4 points each, and while Dower is gone PG Pangos is back and reportedly injury-free for the first time since 2013. Dower led the team in rebounding, too, but Przemek Karnowski was a close #2 and he returns along with #3 scorer Gary Bell, Jr. Backup point guard David Stockton must be replaced, and the Bulldogs' top recruit is 4-star PG Josh Perkins. But the real story with Gonzaga is transfers who are eligible this year, including F Kyle Wiltjer from Kentucky and and Byron Wesley from USC; both averaged in double figures, Wesley for 2 years (17.6 last year). Gonzaga's winning tradition will continue.
18. Connecticut (Amer #1)  LY Str:#20  Talent: [Return:#20  New:#40]  SI:#19 POM:#16 AP:#17 USA:#15
    UConn might be as good this year as they were last year—that is, before their NCAA title run. Before that, they were a typical top 25 team, and they can live up to that. They drop quite a bit from #1 in the nation, however. Shabazz Napier is gone along with DeAndre Daniels; the two were the top scorers and rebounders on the team. They lose #4 and #5 scorers Neils Giffey and Lasan Kromah. That leaves #3 Ryan Boatwright as the only main scorer back, along with several key reservers. The Huskies bring in a decent recruiting class led by 5-star G Daniel Hamilton, and NC State transfer Rodney Purvis got accolades from coach Kevin Ollie as one of the team's best player last year as he sat on the bench. Though solid, UConn doesn't look like a top national title contender, but who picked them as a 7-seed last year?
19. San Diego St. (MWC #1)  LY Str:#24  Talent: [Return:#23  New:#30]  SI:#14 POM:#29 AP:#16 USA:#17
    Steven Fisher has made SDSU a perenial power and we pick them as a heavy favorite to win the Mountain West again. They lose point guard Xavier Thames, who led with 17.6 points per game, and forward Josh Davis (10.1 rebounds) is gone, too. But forwards Winston Shepard, JJ O'Brien, Skylar Spencer, and Dwayne Polee II all return, and they've picked up some decent guards including 4-star Trey Kell, and two more 4-star forwards, as well as Arizona transfer Aqeel Quinn. Should be another successful season in San Diego.
20. Pittsburgh (ACC #5)  LY Str:#21  Talent: [Return:#16  New:#72]  SI:#29 POM:#23 AP:#34 USA:#29
    The Panthers are our first top 25 team that isn't in either of the polls, but Pomeroy slips them in at #23. Pitt returns almost all of last year's squad but the losses are key—top scorers and rebounders Lamar Patterson and Talib Zanna, who combined for 30 points and 13 1/2 rebounds. Starting guards Cameron Wright and James Robinson are back along with forward Michael Young, and they get back #3 scorer Durand Johnson who missed the 2nd half of last season with an ACL tear (Pitt ranked 14th in Strength and was 15-1 with Johnson in the lineup). The Panthers bring in a trio of decent frosh recruits and a potential impact player is Vanderbilt transfer Sheldon Jeter.
21. Michigan St. (B10 #4)  LY Str:#9  Talent: [Return:#19  New:#60]  SI:#21 POM:#12 AP:#18 USA:#18
    The Spartans busted many a bracket by not occupying their typical Final Four slot last year, and this looks like a down year—meaning they'll probably surprise in March. Michigan State loses starters Gary Harris and Adreian Payne, both of whom averaged over 16 ppg, as well as Keith Appling (11.2 ppg). They do have #3 scorer and leading rebounder Branden Dawson (11.2 ppg, 8.3 reb) and guard Denzel Valentine (8 ppg) back. None of MSU's three recruits are 5-star prospects but any of them might be the next great Spartan player, or it could be transfer Bryn Forbes (15.6 ppg at Cleveland State).
22. Utah (P12 #2)  LY Str:#34  Talent: [Return:#18  New:#67]  SI:#25 POM:#42 AP:#25t USA:#30
    Utah makes our top 25 by virtue of returning most of last year's 21-12 squad, including the crucial trio of Delon Wright, Jordan Loveridge, and Brandon Taylor. They were the top three scorers and played 30+ minutes each while no one else played > 20 for the team. The #4 and #5 scorers (Dallin Bachynshki and Dakarai Tucker) return but the Utes lost several key reserves to transfer. The incoming class consists of a solid trio including one consenses 4-star. With Wright and Loveridge coming back they have their two top scorers and rebounders and are a strong candidate for Pac-12 runner-up.
23. UCLA (P12 #3)  LY Str:#13  Talent: [Return:#25  New:#39]  SI:#35 POM:#13 AP:#30 USA:#33
    Here's another divergence from the polls as we have UCLA in the top 25; again only Pomeroy goes along with us. Last year's team was particularly strong at the end of its Sweet Sixteen run, but they lose the bulk of that squad: gone are Jordan Adams (17.4 ppg, 5.3 rebounds), Kyle Anderson (14.6, 8.8), and #4 scorer Zach LaVine. Of last year's 8-man rotation, three players return, including #3 scorer Norman Powell and PG (and coach's son) Bryce Alford. But UCLA's incoming talent should adequately replace some of those missing. The Bruins bring in 5-star forward Kevin Looney, and although 4-star recruit Jonah Bolden is ineligible, 5-star 2013 recruit Isaac Hamilton is now eligible after sitting last year.
24. Oklahoma St. (B12 #4)  LY Str:#7  Talent: [Return:#29  New:#21]  SI:#47 POM:#21 AP:#41 USA:#NR
    From a success perspective, we're upgrading the Cowboys a lot, but considering they finished #7 in Strength, a fall to #24 is quite a downgrade. Once again only Ken Pomeroy's projection is close to ours, and he's distanced himself from his system's conclusion there. OK State loses a lot of talent from last year, chiefly Marcus Smart (18.0 ppg), a volatile star for the team. The #2, #4, and #5 scorers—Markel Brown, Phil Forte III, and Brian Williams depart, too, as well as leading rebounder Kamari Murphy. That arguably leaves only one of the team's top six players—LeBryan Nash—to build the new team around. Fortunately the Cowboys recruited very well, with 5 strong recruits including two 4-star prospects coming in, plus transfer point guard Anthony Hickey from LSU. The talent might not be as good but they might work together better than last year.
25. Iowa St. (B12 #5)  LY Str:#14  Talent: [Return:#21  New:#90]  SI:#15 POM:#25 AP:#14 USA:#14
    Last year's transfer-laden crew almost had a breakthrough year, and much of that team is back. They get some more transfers, too, making the team hard to predict as usual, but they're probably not quite as strong as last year. The Cyclones loses two of last year's transfers, Melvin Ejim and DeAndre Kane, who averaged 17.8 and 17.1 ppg and 8.4 and 6.8 rebounds. That hurts. Georges Niang (16.7 ppg) returns, however, along with Dustin Hogue (11.6, 8.4) and Monte Morris. They only bring in one freshman of note, but as usual, Fred Hoiberg reels in three quality transfers, led by Bryce Dejean-Jones from UNLV. NIU transfer Abdel Nader might also shine, but it's hard to guess how well they'll thrive in Ames this season.
26. Baylor (B12 #6)  LY Str:#30  Talent: [Return:#27  New:#49]  SI:#56 POM:#24
    The Bears fall just outside our top 25 due to losing much of last year's talent including leading scorer and rebounder Corey Jefferson. They finished strong last year and the Bears bring in 4 solid recruits, but the Big Twelve is tough again this year.
27. Tennessee (SEC #3)  LY Str:#19  Talent: [Return:#31  New:#26]  SI:#77 POM:#61
    Another team that loses a lot from last year after almost performing at a top 10 level late last year. The Vols are decimated, losing 4 starters including Jordan McRae (18.7 ppg). The Vols will depend on a large recruiting class and 2 transfers, chiefly Memphis center Dominic Woodson.
28. Stanford (P12 #4)  LY Str:#35  Talent: [Return:#32  New:#34]  SI:#26 POM:#54
    The Cardinal suffer many losses but senior guard Chasson Randle (18.8 ppg) is back to form the core of the new team, and it could be good, as their recruiting class includes a trio of 4-star players.
29. BYU (WCC #2)  LY Str:#40  Talent: [Return:#33  New:#35]  SI:#43 POM:#43
    The Cougars have much of last year's team back including star Tyler Haws who averaged a stellar 23.2 point per game. They also recruited well (4 players at 3+ stars) and add transfers from UNLV, Wake Forest, and Utah State.
30. Ohio St. (B10 #5)  LY Str:#18  Talent: [Return:#37  New:#13]  SI:#13 POM:#14 AP:#20 USA:#20
    We're alone in leaving the Buckeyes out of the top 25. They didn't fare well in the latter part of the season and lose many key players, including leading scorer/rebounded LaQuinton Ross. They do bring in one of the nation's best classes led by 5-star guard D'Angelo Russell.
31. Nebraska (B10 #6)  LY Str:#62  Talent: [Return:#26  New:#99]  SI:#36 POM:#33 AP:#21 USA:#21
    The Cornhuskers were much better in the 2nd half of last year and return a good chunk of talent including forward Terran Petteway (18.1 ppg). Their freshman class is underwhelming but they add transfers from Georgetown and Kansas.
32. SMU (Amer #2)  LY Str:#33  Talent: [Return:#24  New:#194]  SI:#17 POM:#36 AP:#22 USA:#22
    Last year's NIT runner-up returns a lot of good players; Nik Moore and Marcus Kennedy led the team in points and rebounds, respectively. But the freshman class lost top recruit Emmanuel Mudiay to the China pro league, so Xavier grad transfer Justin Martin is their new blood.
33. Creighton (BigE #2)  LY Str:#16  Talent: [Return:#28  New:#78]  SI:#82 POM:#47
    The 'Jays obvious loss is player of the year Doug McDermott, and we're pretty sure our system didn't quite capture the enormity of losing him and several other starters. It will be a challenge for the program, but the Bluejays can depend on Austin Chatman, 4-star frosh Ronnie Harrell, and three Division I transfers.
34. Syracuse (ACC #6)  LY Str:#23  Talent: [Return:#35  New:#53]  SI:#23 POM:#11 AP:#23 USA:#24
    In everyone else's top 25, the Orange drop out of our top 25 due to heavy personnel losses. CJ Fair and two other double-digit scorers depart. They bring in 5-star forward Chris McCullough and 4-star point Kaleb Joseph, but they'd better live up to their billing.
35. Arkansas (SEC #4)  LY Str:#32  Talent: [Return:#38  New:#43]  SI:#28 POM:#44
    The Razorbacks return a decent chunk of last year's NIT team, with the top three scorers all back. They lose one starter and three key reserves, but with four solid recruits coming in and a West Virginia transfer eligible, the Hogs look to make the main tournament this season.
36. Kansas St. (B12 #7)  LY Str:#44  Talent: [Return:#34  New:#68]  SI:#22 POM:#35
    The Wildcats return leading scorer Marcus Foster and rebounder Thomas Gipson, but lose two starters. A couple of solid recruits will help, along with Division I transfers Justin Edwards from Maine and Brandon Bolden from Georgetown.
37. Oregon (P12 #5)  LY Str:#28  Talent: [Return:#48  New:#10]  SI:#63 POM:#34
    Few top teams lost as much as Oregon, who is without 7 of their top 9 scorers. But their leader, Joseph Young (18.9ppg) is back and they a very strong recruiting class—six players, three of them consensus 4-star players. They'll need all of them to contribute but should be good by year's end.
38. St. John's (BigE #3)  LY Str:#49  Talent: [Return:#30  New:#111]  SI:#58 POM:#39
    The Red Storm return six of last year's top eight scorers including #1 D'Angelo Harrison (17.5 ppg), and that could help them improve on last year's first-round NIT exit. There's not enough new blood in this year's recruiting class to guarantee an upgrade to the NCAA, but it's possible.
39. New Mexico (MWC #2)  LY Str:#37  Talent: [Return:#43  New:#43]  SI:#94 POM:#52
    The Lobos were nearly a top 25-level team in the 2nd half of last year, so even as they lose a lot from last year's team our system gives them a good chance for another Big Dance trip. But the loss of their top three scorers, led by Cameron Bairstow (20.6 ppg) might be too much to overcome. Hope lies with a solid recruiting class plus a few eligible transfers.
40. Minnesota (B10 #7)  LY Str:#45  Talent: [Return:#40  New:#45]  SI:#40 POM:#37
    The Gophers look about the same as last year—a team that, if it doesn't make the NCAA, should have another deep NIT run. Leading scorer Andre Hollins is back, but his brother, #2 scorer and top rebounder Austin, graduated. Five solid newcomers add hope for improvement.
41. Cincinnati (Amer #3)  LY Str:#27  Talent: [Return:#42  New:#46]  SI:#45 POM:#46
    Cincy loses top scorer Sean Kilpatrick (20.6 ppg) and their two top rebounders from last year's 27-7 team. The Bearcats retain two starters and bring in a good recruiting class led by 4-star forward Gary Clark.
42. Maryland (B10 #8)  LY Str:#51  Talent: [Return:#45  New:#28]  SI:#33 POM:#32
    The Terps lose just two starters but also their three top reserves. Leading scorer Dez Wells is back and Maryland recruited well, landing four solid prospects—three of them 4-star caliber—and welcomes grad transfer Richaud Pack (G, 17.0 ppg) from North Carolina A&T.
43. Providence (BigE #4)  LY Str:#47  Talent: [Return:#49  New:#31]  SI:#61 POM:#53
    The Friars lose three starters including top scorer Bryce Cotton (21.8 ppg). Their incoming class looks a lot like Maryland's, above: three consensus 4-star recruits and one 3-star. They also have a Division I transfer in Junior Lomomba, originally at Cleveland State.
44. Harvard (Ivy #1)  LY Str:#43  Talent: [Return:#39  New:#112]  SI:#30 POM:#30 AP:#25t USA:#27
    Here our system diverges a bit from the consensus: Hanner and Pomeroy both put the Crimson at #30, while the pollsters make them a borderline top 25 team (but TeamRankings.com has them at #49). They return 3 starters (the top 3 scorers) and add a couple of 3-star recruits. Let's agree that it makes them at least as good as last year and there should be another NCAA berth.
45. Tulsa (Amer #4)  LY Str:#83  Talent: [Return:#36  New:#144]  SI:#52 POM:#45
    How does Tulsa jump from #83 to #45? Their play from January to March was already top 50 level, and they return five of their top six scorers, losing only #4 Pat Swilling who missed the latter part of last season anyway. No big recruits, but the Golden Hurricane should be just fine.
46. Georgia (SEC #5)  LY Str:#82  Talent: [Return:#41  New:#113]  SI:#64 POM:#48
    Much like Tulsa above, Georgia makes a big jump based on their level of play in the 2nd half of the season and the fact that most of their best players are back. The Bulldogs return four of their top five scorers and recruit a bit stronger than Tulsa but end up one spot behind.
47. George Washington (A10 #2)  LY Str:#53  Talent: [Return:#46  New:#76]  SI:#62 POM:#62
    The Colonials are a very distant 2nd in the Atlantic 10 in our projections but are within striking distance of a repeat NCAA berth. They return 4 of their 6 most-used players from last year but lose their top scorer and top rebounder, adding in a handful of solid recruits.
48. Louisiana Tech (CUSA #1)  LY Str:#31  Talent: [Return:#44  New:#95]  SI:#60 POM:#49
    The Bulldogs lose about half of last year's production, including three of the top five scorers. Leader Alex Hamilton is back, however, and they add a couple of 3-star prospects. It might be enough to keep Tech the best team in a weaker C-USA and lead to an NCAA berth.
49. Florida St. (ACC #7)  LY Str:#38  Talent: [Return:#50  New:#62]  SI:#48 POM:#41
    The Seminoles return three starters including leading scorer Aaron Thomas, but lose the next two scorers and their leading rebounder. Recruiting adds a clutch of 3-star-level recruits who probably won't lift the Seminoles out of NCAA bubble territory; they went to the NIT Final Four last season.
50. Clemson (ACC #8)  LY Str:#55  Talent: [Return:#47  New:#91]  SI:#84 POM:#75
    Speaking of Final Four NIT teams trapped in bubble territory, Clemson is the definition this year, or so it seems. The Tigers return four starters but lose KJ McDaniels, far and away the team's leading scorer at 17.1 ppg and leading rebounder too. They'll battle FSU for a Big Dance berth.
51. Indiana (B10 #9)  LY Str:#52  Talent: [Return:#56  New:#14]  SI:#46 POM:#26
    Indiana loses a lot but returns Yogi Ferrell and adds a solid class led by 5-star James Blackmon, Jr.
52. Illinois (B10 #10)  LY Str:#58  Talent: [Return:#51  New:#63]  SI:#37 POM:#38
    Their top three scorers are back and two solid transfers should lift the Illini near an NCAA bid.
53. Georgetown (BigE #5)  LY Str:#56  Talent: [Return:#62  New:#11]  SI:#31 POM:#22
    Poor play down the stretch and losing Markel Starks offsets strong recruiting, keeping the Hoyas a lot further down than SI or Pomeroy has them.
54. Saint Joseph's (A10 #3)  LY Str:#63  Talent: [Return:#52  New:#69]  SI:#173 POM:#80
    Strong late-season play gives us some confidence in the Hawks despite losing 3 starters. They add 3 decent recruits and WVA transfer Aaron Brown. SI doesn't see it this way (#173!)
55. Xavier (BigE #6)  LY Str:#50  Talent: [Return:#68  New:#5]  SI:#42 POM:#67
    The Musketeers lose their top two scorers and 3 starters, but add 4 solid recruits and Indiana transfer Remy Abell. Their poor stretch play is what keeps them below St. Joe's.
56. North Carolina St. (ACC #9)  LY Str:#67  Talent: [Return:#61  New:#23]  SI:#55 POM:#60
    Losing TJ Warren (24.9 ppg) hurts but transfer Trevor Lacey from Alabama will ease the pain.
57. Memphis (Amer #5)  LY Str:#36  Talent: [Return:#58  New:#38]  SI:#32 POM:#27
    The Tigers lose 4 of their main 6 rotation but add Vandy transfer Kedren Johnson.
58. West Virginia (B12 #8)  LY Str:#46  Talent: [Return:#55  New:#54]  SI:#71 POM:#55
    The Mountaineers faded last year but top scorer Juwan Staten is back along with some good recruits.
59. Arizona St. (P12 #6)  LY Str:#39  Talent: [Return:#66  New:#29]  SI:#90 POM:#85
    ASU loses most of last year's squad but incoming talent keeps them near bubble territory.
60. Colorado (P12 #7)  LY Str:#60  Talent: [Return:#53  New:#92]  SI:#41 POM:#63
    The Buffs collapsed when Spencer Dinwiddie was hurt last year, and he isn't back. Everyone else is, however.
61. Seton Hall (BigE #7)  LY Str:#85  Talent: [Return:#70  New:#9]  SI:#79 POM:#86
    The Pirates finished strong but lose more than half their production; however, they add 5-star Isaiah Whitehead as part of a great recruiting class.
62. LSU (SEC #6)  LY Str:#61  Talent: [Return:#63  New:#41]  SI:#44 POM:#73
    The Tigers lose most of last year's talent, and despite solid newcomers they might not escape the NIT's clutches.
63. Georgia St. (Sun #1)  LY Str:#71  Talent: [Return:#54  New:#136]  SI:#57 POM:#66
    After last year's upset overtime loss in the Sun Belt tourney, the Panthers should make the Big Dance.
64. Penn St. (B10 #11)  LY Str:#79  Talent: [Return:#57  New:#107]  SI:#73 POM:#56
    With leading scorer DJ Newbill (17.8 ppg) back the Lions should see the postseason.
65. San Francisco (WCC #3)  LY Str:#95  Talent: [Return:#59  New:#127]  SI:#106 POM:#100
    The Dons played well from January on so we have higher expectations than SI and Pomeroy.
66. Texas Tech (B12 #9)  LY Str:#69  Talent: [Return:#73  New:#32]  SI:#108 POM:#125
    The Red Raiders lose much of last year's squad but bring in six 3-star recruits which should keep them around last year's Strength level, and improve their 14-18 record.
67. Saint Louis (A10 #4)  LY Str:#42  Talent: [Return:#69  New:#55]  SI:#129 POM:#82
    The Billikens lose four starters; 10 new players, including a Villanova transfer, can only slow the bleeding as they drop from a 5-seed.
68. Northwestern (B10 #12)  LY Str:#119  Talent: [Return:#71  New:#37]  SI:#87 POM:#77
    The Wildcats return most of last year's talent and add six solid new players.
69. Dayton (A10 #5)  LY Str:#54  Talent: [Return:#60  New:#137]  SI:#38 POM:#50
    The Flyers lose 3 starters and add few new players; we can only assume another Elite Eight run isn't in the works.
70. California (P12 #8)  LY Str:#57  Talent: [Return:#64  New:#103]  SI:#50 POM:#65
    Cal loses top scorer Justin Cobbs (15.6 ppg) and incoming talent might not offset outgoing.
71. Miami FL (ACC #10)  LY Str:#74  Talent: [Return:#88  New:#4]  SI:#39 POM:#57
    The 'Canes lose most of last year's team, but transfers from Texas, K-State, and Niagara could make Miami this season's Iowa State.
72. Purdue (B10 #13)  LY Str:#78  Talent: [Return:#80  New:#27]  SI:#85 POM:#40
    Solid recruiting—5 3-4 stars—and Colorado State transfer Jon Octeus help the Boilers improve.
73. Iona (MAAC #1)  LY Str:#77  Talent: [Return:#65  New:#168]  SI:#91 POM:#72
    The Gaels should win this year's MAAC tournament—but that was true last year, too.
74. Marquette (BigE #8)  LY Str:#59  Talent: [Return:#74  New:#59]  SI:#67 POM:#87
    The Golden Eagles lose their 4 top scorers; a 4-star recruit and transfers from BYU and Indiana probably can't make up for it.
75. North Dakota St. (Sum #1)  LY Str:#73  Talent: [Return:#67  New:#164]  SI:#184 POM:#146
    The Bison were so strong at the end of last year that losing 3 starters doesn't drop them much in our formula. Hanner and Pomeroy's formulas are much more pessimistic.
76. Alabama (SEC #7)  LY Str:#75  Talent: [Return:#87  New:#17]  SI:#54 POM:#58
    The Tide dwindled in the 2nd half of the year, but solid recruiting should give them a pickup.
77. Boise St. (MWC #3)  LY Str:#66  Talent: [Return:#76  New:#65]  SI:#81 POM:#64
    Boise also finished weak last year hence the drop from last year's full-season #66, despite decent recruiting.
78. Washington (P12 #9)  LY Str:#98  Talent: [Return:#72  New:#93]  SI:#69 POM:#59
    The Huskies return 3 starters from a team that played better than their 17-15 record late.
79. Mississippi (SEC #8)  LY Str:#80  Talent: [Return:#81  New:#39]  SI:#51 POM:#89
    Ole Miss skidded in February but good recruiting could mean a stronger finish to 2015.
80. UTEP (CUSA #2)  LY Str:#114  Talent: [Return:#78  New:#100]  SI:#107 POM:#78
    The Miners return 5 of their top 6 in total scoring for the season.
81. Massachusetts (A10 #6)  LY Str:#48  Talent: [Return:#75  New:#121]  SI:#59 POM:#74
    UMass loses two of their top three scorers off a team that faded last spring.
82. Missouri (SEC #9)  LY Str:#65  Talent: [Return:#100  New:#12]  SI:#95 POM:#98
    The Tigers' losses are heavy but great recruiting softens the blow, as Mizzou adds 3 4-stars and two D-I transfers.
83. Fresno St. (MWC #4)  LY Str:#120  Talent: [Return:#86  New:#56]  SI:#83 POM:#114
    Three of four top scorers are back and the Bulldogs add Texas transfer Julien Lewis.
84. UNLV (MWC #5)  LY Str:#72  Talent: [Return:#108  New:#6]  SI:#66 POM:#83
    The Rebels are decimated by departures—all 5 starters are gone—but bring in a whole new—and possibly very good—team, led by 5-star recruit Rashad Vaughn and three D-I transfers.
85. Manhattan (MAAC #2)  LY Str:#84  Talent: [Return:#77  New:#162]  SI:#88 POM:#116
    Tepid recruiting might foil the Jaspers' bid for an NCAA repeat.
86. Rhode Island (A10 #7)  LY Str:#123  Talent: [Return:#85  New:#79]  SI:#78 POM:#105
    Eight of the Rams' top nine scorers are back and they add a 4-star recruit.
87. Vermont (AE #1)  LY Str:#91  Talent: [Return:#79  New:#169]  SI:#162 POM:#111
    The Catamounts were playing like a top 60 team late last year, but most of that team is gone—making the America East wide open.
88. Murray St. (OVC #1)  LY Str:#143  Talent: [Return:#82  New:#123]  SI:#100 POM:#94
    Six of the top seven Racers are back; last year's CIT winner might upgrade to the Big Dance.
89. Texas A&M (SEC #10)  LY Str:#102  Talent: [Return:#109  New:#22]  SI:#75 POM:#69
    Last year's Aggies were nothing special, but good recruiting—and SMU transfer Jalen Jones—could change that.
90. South Carolina (SEC #11)  LY Str:#107  Talent: [Return:#99  New:#50]  SI:#72 POM:#88
    SC returns the bulk of last year's squad but the newcomers will help just as much.
91. Stephen F. Austin (SLand #1)  LY Str:#90  Talent: [Return:#83  New:#271]  SI:#101 POM:#97
    The Lumberjacks look about the same as last year—when they went to the NCAA 2nd round.
92. UC Irvine (BW #1)  LY Str:#99  Talent: [Return:#84  New:#301++]  SI:#65 POM:#118
    A loaded Irvine is our favorite in the Big West after missing their chance last year.
93. Davidson (A10 #8)  LY Str:#136  Talent: [Return:#89  New:#128]  SI:#133 POM:#139
    Hot last spring, the Wildcats could maintain that same level of play into this season.
94. Green Bay (Horz #1)  LY Str:#70  Talent: [Return:#93  New:#114]  SI:#80 POM:#76
    The Phoenix weakened late, but return enough to vie for the Horizon title they should have claimed last year.
95. New Mexico St. (WAC #1)  LY Str:#76  Talent: [Return:#90  New:#155]  SI:#96 POM:#79
    Despite big personnel losses, it should be a repeat bid for the Aggies as the WAC is weak.
96. Middle Tennessee (CUSA #3)  LY Str:#88  Talent: [Return:#96  New:#94]  SI:#156 POM:#115
    MTSU is decimated, losing their 4 top scorers, but a few good recruits go a long way in the CUSA.
97. Richmond (A10 #9)  LY Str:#94  Talent: [Return:#91  New:#145]  SI:#74 POM:#51
    The Spiders return key personnel and add a load of newcomers; is it enough to make headway in the competitive Atlantic 10?
98. Belmont (OVC #2)  LY Str:#106  Talent: [Return:#94  New:#108]  SI:#112 POM:#106
    The Bruins return just enough old talent, and add just enough new talent, to make an Ohio Valley run.
99. Saint Mary's (WCC #4)  LY Str:#64  Talent: [Return:#95  New:#118]  SI:#68 POM:#81
    The Gaels lose three starters and three key backups; transfers from Minnesota, Washington, and Stanford will try to save the day.
100. Butler (BigE #9)  LY Str:#89  Talent: [Return:#103  New:#80]  SI:#102 POM:#68
     The Bulldogs' post-Brad Stevens reality may be the Big East cellar.
101. Buffalo (MAC #1)  LY Str:#103  Talent: [Return:#97  New:#119]  SI:#160 POM:#141
102. Northern Iowa (MVC #2)  LY Str:#87  Talent: [Return:#92  New:#195]  SI:#70 POM:#71
103. San Diego (WCC #5)  LY Str:#128  Talent: [Return:#98  New:#146]  SI:#134 POM:#117
104. Southern Miss (CUSA #4)  LY Str:#68  Talent: [Return:#102  New:#124]  SI:#178 POM:#122
105. Georgia Tech (ACC #11)  LY Str:#109  Talent: [Return:#112  New:#45]  SI:#139 POM:#96
106. Boston College (ACC #12)  LY Str:#132  Talent: [Return:#104  New:#129]  SI:#116 POM:#134
107. Portland (WCC #6)  LY Str:#101  Talent: [Return:#101  New:#239]  SI:#118 POM:#121
108. Notre Dame (ACC #13)  LY Str:#81  Talent: [Return:#110  New:#84]  SI:#34 POM:#70
109. Colorado St. (MWC #6)  LY Str:#125  Talent: [Return:#114  New:#57]  SI:#53 POM:#93
110. NC Central (MEAC #1)  LY Str:#100  Talent: [Return:#106  New:#196]  SI:#114 POM:#147
111. St. Bonaventure (A10 #10)  LY Str:#86  Talent: [Return:#105  New:#217]  SI:#110 POM:#107
112. Wyoming (MWC #7)  LY Str:#118  Talent: [Return:#111  New:#109]  SI:#49 POM:#99
113. Cleveland St. (Horz #2)  LY Str:#92  Talent: [Return:#107  New:#240]  SI:#103 POM:#90
114. Auburn (SEC #12)  LY Str:#117  Talent: [Return:#117  New:#32]  SI:#76 POM:#137
115. Oregon St. (P12 #10)  LY Str:#97  Talent: [Return:#113  New:#85]  SI:#257 POM:#226
116. Vanderbilt (SEC #13)  LY Str:#105  Talent: [Return:#130  New:#18]  SI:#117 POM:#91
117. La Salle (A10 #11)  LY Str:#104  Talent: [Return:#119  New:#87]  SI:#98 POM:#101
118. Western Michigan (MAC #2)  LY Str:#131  Talent: [Return:#116  New:#170]  SI:#135 POM:#172
119. American (Pat #1)  LY Str:#130  Talent: [Return:#115  New:#241]  SI:#119 POM:#165
120. George Mason (A10 #12)  LY Str:#133  Talent: [Return:#124  New:#66]  SI:#120 POM:#138
121. Toledo (MAC #3)  LY Str:#111  Talent: [Return:#118  New:#218]  SI:#105 POM:#120
122. Mercer (SC #1)  LY Str:#93  Talent: [Return:#120  New:#171]  SI:#191 POM:#168
123. Akron (MAC #4)  LY Str:#142  Talent: [Return:#122  New:#142]  SI:#128 POM:#186
124. Princeton (Ivy #2)  LY Str:#108  Talent: [Return:#126  New:#115]  SI:#104 POM:#123
125. Southern Illinois (MVC #3)  LY Str:#166  Talent: [Return:#123  New:#130]  SI:#140 POM:#170
126. Long Beach St. (BW #2)  LY Str:#145  Talent: [Return:#121  New:#179]  SI:#115 POM:#127
127. Louisiana Lafayette (Sun #2)  LY Str:#116  Talent: [Return:#127  New:#147]  SI:#153 POM:#128
128. Santa Clara (WCC #7)  LY Str:#147  Talent: [Return:#125  New:#301+]  SI:#154 POM:#129
129. Siena (MAAC #3)  LY Str:#172  Talent: [Return:#128  New:#219]  SI:#89 POM:#156
130. UC Santa Barbara (BW #3)  LY Str:#96  Talent: [Return:#129  New:#156]  SI:#99 POM:#92
131. South Dakota St. (Sum #2)  LY Str:#152  Talent: [Return:#131  New:#172]  SI:#176 POM:#178
132. Wake Forest (ACC #14)  LY Str:#115  Talent: [Return:#136  New:#122]  SI:#132 POM:#104
133. Wright St. (Horz #3)  LY Str:#148  Talent: [Return:#135  New:#131]  SI:#197 POM:#153
134. Duquesne (A10 #13)  LY Str:#155  Talent: [Return:#134  New:#148]  SI:#138 POM:#124
135. Delaware (CAA #1)  LY Str:#110  Talent: [Return:#132  New:#272]  SI:#263 POM:#191
136. Yale (Ivy #3)  LY Str:#167  Talent: [Return:#133  New:#301+]  SI:#109 POM:#119
137. Eastern Kentucky (OVC #3)  LY Str:#126  Talent: [Return:#137  New:#220]  SI:#155 POM:#151
138. Illinois St. (MVC #4)  LY Str:#144  Talent: [Return:#138  New:#273]  SI:#86 POM:#109
139. Brown (Ivy #4)  LY Str:#168  Talent: [Return:#139  New:#301+]  SI:#148 POM:#182
140. Holy Cross (Pat #2)  LY Str:#165  Talent: [Return:#140  New:#301+]  SI:#149 POM:#173
141. USC (P12 #11)  LY Str:#141  Talent: [Return:#161  New:#15]  SI:#121 POM:#136
142. Evansville (MVC #5)  LY Str:#210  Talent: [Return:#141  New:#274]  SI:#124 POM:#158
143. Temple (Amer #6)  LY Str:#139  Talent: [Return:#148  New:#78]  SI:#93 POM:#110
144. Canisius (MAAC #4)  LY Str:#140  Talent: [Return:#142  New:#242]  SI:#271 POM:#198
145. Columbia (Ivy #5)  LY Str:#127  Talent: [Return:#143  New:#275]  SI:#111 POM:#166
146. Boston University (Pat #3)  LY Str:#121  Talent: [Return:#144  New:#243]  SI:#150 POM:#164
147. Missouri St. (MVC #6)  LY Str:#158  Talent: [Return:#145  New:#221]  SI:#141 POM:#143
148. Nevada (MWC #8)  LY Str:#150  Talent: [Return:#150  New:#116]  SI:#166 POM:#197
149. Denver (Sum #3)  LY Str:#138  Talent: [Return:#146  New:#244]  SI:#144 POM:#113
150. Houston (Amer #7)  LY Str:#135  Talent: [Return:#154  New:#96]  SI:#97 POM:#201
151. Wofford (SC #2)  LY Str:#203  Talent: [Return:#149  New:#149]  SI:#123 POM:#112
152. Old Dominion (CUSA #5)  LY Str:#173  Talent: [Return:#147  New:#180]  SI:#92 POM:#108
153. Hawaii (BW #4)  LY Str:#122  Talent: [Return:#153  New:#138]  SI:#171 POM:#241
154. Eastern Michigan (MAC #5)  LY Str:#129  Talent: [Return:#151  New:#181]  SI:#164 POM:#148
155. Towson (CAA #2)  LY Str:#149  Talent: [Return:#152  New:#197]  SI:#238 POM:#203
156. Virginia Tech (ACC #15)  LY Str:#151  Talent: [Return:#172  New:#16]  SI:#126 POM:#167
157. Florida Gulf Coast (ASun #1)  LY Str:#187  Talent: [Return:#157  New:#132]  SI:#127 POM:#149
158. Mississippi St. (SEC #14)  LY Str:#197  Talent: [Return:#165  New:#64]  SI:#137 POM:#84
159. Arkansas St. (Sun #3)  LY Str:#156  Talent: [Return:#162  New:#88]  SI:#256 POM:#212
160. IPFW (Sum #4)  LY Str:#154  Talent: [Return:#155  New:#276]  SI:#180 POM:#219
161. Pepperdine (WCC #8)  LY Str:#160  Talent: [Return:#156  New:#245]  SI:#199 POM:#175
162. Indiana St. (MVC #7)  LY Str:#112  Talent: [Return:#158  New:#222]  SI:#136 POM:#132
163. Weber St. (BSky #1)  LY Str:#170  Talent: [Return:#159  New:#301+]  SI:#217 POM:#140
164. UCF (Amer #8)  LY Str:#146  Talent: [Return:#166  New:#86]  SI:#168 POM:#188
165. Northern Illinois (MAC #6)  LY Str:#209  Talent: [Return:#160  New:#277]  SI:#205 POM:#223
166. Ohio (MAC #7)  LY Str:#124  Talent: [Return:#164  New:#143]  SI:#122 POM:#145
167. Valparaiso (Horz #4)  LY Str:#157  Talent: [Return:#163  New:#223]  SI:#152 POM:#160
168. Bradley (MVC #8)  LY Str:#204  Talent: [Return:#170  New:#97]  SI:#214 POM:#210
169. Western Kentucky (CUSA #6)  LY Str:#176  Talent: [Return:#175  New:#58]  SI:#113 POM:#126
170. Washington St. (P12 #12)  LY Str:#162  Talent: [Return:#169  New:#117]  SI:#130 POM:#144
171. Utah St. (MWC #9)  LY Str:#113  Talent: [Return:#171  New:#98]  SI:#229 POM:#152
172. USC Upstate (ASun #2)  LY Str:#182  Talent: [Return:#167  New:#246]  SI:#226 POM:#237
173. William & Mary (CAA #3)  LY Str:#181  Talent: [Return:#168  New:#198]  SI:#189 POM:#161
174. Colgate (Pat #4)  LY Str:#177  Talent: [Return:#173  New:#247]  SI:#239 POM:#206
175. Milwaukee (Horz #5)  LY Str:#183  Talent: [Return:#174  New:#248]  SI:#167 POM:#189
176. Bucknell (Pat #5)  LY Str:#163  Talent: [Return:#176  New:#249]  SI:#174 POM:#163
177. High Point (BSth #1)  LY Str:#273  Talent: [Return:#177  New:#278]  SI:#157 POM:#187
178. Pacific (WCC #9)  LY Str:#134  Talent: [Return:#178  New:#173]  SI:#236 POM:#199
179. Rutgers (B10 #14)  LY Str:#185  Talent: [Return:#187  New:#73]  SI:#159 POM:#102
180. Robert Morris (NEC #1)  LY Str:#193  Talent: [Return:#179  New:#250]  SI:#204 POM:#177
181. VMI (SC #3)  LY Str:#215  Talent: [Return:#183  New:#199]  SI:#293 POM:#281
182. Drexel (CAA #4)  LY Str:#137  Talent: [Return:#182  New:#251]  SI:#187 POM:#135
183. Bowling Green (MAC #8)  LY Str:#199  Talent: [Return:#185  New:#174]  SI:#185 POM:#179
184. Army (Pat #6)  LY Str:#230  Talent: [Return:#180  New:#301+]  SI:#151 POM:#202
185. Northwestern St. (SLand #2)  LY Str:#191  Talent: [Return:#181  New:#301+]  SI:#194 POM:#196
186. DePaul (BigE #10)  LY Str:#164  Talent: [Return:#192  New:#74]  SI:#182 POM:#176
187. Cal Poly (BW #5)  LY Str:#178  Talent: [Return:#184  New:#279]  SI:#142 POM:#216
188. UAB (CUSA #7)  LY Str:#153  Talent: [Return:#191  New:#82]  SI:#232 POM:#162
189. Quinnipiac (MAAC #5)  LY Str:#159  Talent: [Return:#188  New:#200]  SI:#158 POM:#131
190. Northeastern (CAA #5)  LY Str:#202  Talent: [Return:#186  New:#301+]  SI:#172 POM:#103
191. Marist (MAAC #6)  LY Str:#224  Talent: [Return:#189  New:#252]  SI:#298 POM:#225
192. Detroit (Horz #6)  LY Str:#196  Talent: [Return:#193  New:#182]  SI:#179 POM:#142
193. College of Charleston (CAA #6)  LY Str:#184  Talent: [Return:#190  New:#301+]  SI:#193 POM:#155
194. Kent St. (MAC #9)  LY Str:#186  Talent: [Return:#197  New:#133]  SI:#143 POM:#185
195. Coastal Carolina (BSth #2)  LY Str:#235  Talent: [Return:#194  New:#301+]  SI:#147 POM:#174
196. Saint Peter's (MAAC #7)  LY Str:#241  Talent: [Return:#196  New:#157]  SI:#225 POM:#215
197. Florida Atlantic (CUSA #8)  LY Str:#233  Talent: [Return:#198  New:#150]  SI:#242 POM:#252
198. Cal St. Northridge (BW #6)  LY Str:#232  Talent: [Return:#195  New:#301+]  SI:#186 POM:#159
199. Stony Brook (AE #2)  LY Str:#175  Talent: [Return:#199  New:#165]  SI:#145 POM:#133
200. TCU (B12 #10)  LY Str:#200  Talent: [Return:#204  New:#101]  SI:#125 POM:#130
201. Air Force (MWC #10)  LY Str:#218  Talent: [Return:#203  New:#125]  SI:#210 POM:#246
202. Lafayette (Pat #7)  LY Str:#251  Talent: [Return:#200  New:#301+]  SI:#190 POM:#211
203. Miami OH (MAC #10)  LY Str:#216  Talent: [Return:#209  New:#102]  SI:#177 POM:#224
204. Mount St. Mary's (NEC #2)  LY Str:#234  Talent: [Return:#202  New:#253]  SI:#235 POM:#234
205. Sacramento St. (BSky #2)  LY Str:#272  Talent: [Return:#201  New:#301+]  SI:#246 POM:#253
206. Loyola Chicago (MVC #9)  LY Str:#226  Talent: [Return:#208  New:#139]  SI:#220 POM:#169
207. Youngstown St. (Horz #7)  LY Str:#189  Talent: [Return:#207  New:#175]  SI:#221 POM:#231
208. Sam Houston St. (SLand #3)  LY Str:#213  Talent: [Return:#205  New:#301+]  SI:#165 POM:#194
209. Utah Valley (WAC #2)  LY Str:#223  Talent: [Return:#206  New:#301+]  SI:#267 POM:#249
210. South Florida (Amer #9)  LY Str:#188  Talent: [Return:#218  New:#83]  SI:#249 POM:#157
211. Oakland (Horz #8)  LY Str:#192  Talent: [Return:#211  New:#201]  SI:#201 POM:#192
212. Wagner (NEC #3)  LY Str:#198  Talent: [Return:#210  New:#301+]  SI:#291 POM:#230
213. Arkansas Little Rock (Sun #4)  LY Str:#222  Talent: [Return:#213  New:#140]  SI:#195 POM:#235
214. Fordham (A10 #14)  LY Str:#208  Talent: [Return:#215  New:#158]  SI:#253 POM:#154
215. Albany (AE #3)  LY Str:#190  Talent: [Return:#212  New:#301+]  SI:#202 POM:#150
216. Morehead St. (OVC #4)  LY Str:#179  Talent: [Return:#214  New:#202]  SI:#131 POM:#171
217. Charlotte (CUSA #9)  LY Str:#174  Talent: [Return:#221  New:#104]  SI:#161 POM:#95
218. South Dakota (Sum #5)  LY Str:#259  Talent: [Return:#217  New:#166]  SI:#212 POM:#262
219. Southern (SWAC #1)  LY Str:#180  Talent: [Return:#216  New:#280]  SI:#276 POM:#296
220. UT Arlington (Sun #5)  LY Str:#214  Talent: [Return:#220  New:#183]  SI:#237 POM:#238
221. St. Francis NY (NEC #4)  LY Str:#207  Talent: [Return:#219  New:#301+]  SI:#222 POM:#190
222. UNC Asheville (BSth #3)  LY Str:#256  Talent: [Return:#222  New:#281]  SI:#259 POM:#244
223. Hampton (MEAC #2)  LY Str:#227  Talent: [Return:#223  New:#254]  SI:#244 POM:#204
224. Oral Roberts (Sum #6)  LY Str:#195  Talent: [Return:#224  New:#282]  SI:#175 POM:#184
225. Hartford (AE #4)  LY Str:#245  Talent: [Return:#225  New:#203]  SI:#198 POM:#180
226. Bryant (NEC #5)  LY Str:#205  Talent: [Return:#226  New:#184]  SI:#264 POM:#227
227. Eastern Washington (BSky #3)  LY Str:#238  Talent: [Return:#227  New:#255]  SI:#218 POM:#200
228. Montana (BSky #4)  LY Str:#217  Talent: [Return:#228  New:#256]  SI:#251 POM:#265
229. Nebraska Omaha (Sum #7)  LY Str:#169  Talent: [Return:#229  New:#204]  SI:#196 POM:#239
230. Southeast Missouri St. (OVC #5)  LY Str:#219  Talent: [Return:#230  New:#257]  SI:#230 POM:#208
231. Loyola Marymount (WCC #10)  LY Str:#171  Talent: [Return:#231  New:#258]  SI:#208 POM:#205
232. Morgan St. (MEAC #3)  LY Str:#240  Talent: [Return:#232  New:#224]  SI:#340 POM:#271
233. Drake (MVC #10)  LY Str:#161  Talent: [Return:#237  New:#126]  SI:#209 POM:#228
234. Seattle (WAC #3)  LY Str:#243  Talent: [Return:#233  New:#225]  SI:#203 POM:#209
235. Northern Arizona (BSky #5)  LY Str:#252  Talent: [Return:#234  New:#301+]  SI:#183 POM:#256
236. East Carolina (Amer #10)  LY Str:#206  Talent: [Return:#243  New:#71]  SI:#170 POM:#183
237. Rider (MAAC #8)  LY Str:#220  Talent: [Return:#236  New:#185]  SI:#163 POM:#229
238. Tulane (Amer #11)  LY Str:#279  Talent: [Return:#238  New:#151]  SI:#233 POM:#207
239. Dartmouth (Ivy #6)  LY Str:#225  Talent: [Return:#235  New:#283]  SI:#169 POM:#240
240. Marshall (CUSA #10)  LY Str:#212  Talent: [Return:#240  New:#141]  SI:#234 POM:#245
241. FIU (CUSA #11)  LY Str:#237  Talent: [Return:#239  New:#259]  SI:#288 POM:#258
242. Winthrop (BSth #4)  LY Str:#239  Talent: [Return:#242  New:#284]  SI:#213 POM:#214
243. Cal St. Fullerton (BW #7)  LY Str:#229  Talent: [Return:#241  New:#301+]  SI:#188 POM:#213
244. Hofstra (CAA #7)  LY Str:#250  Talent: [Return:#252  New:#89]  SI:#146 POM:#259
245. Radford (BSth #5)  LY Str:#247  Talent: [Return:#244  New:#301+]  SI:#200 POM:#181
246. Grand Canyon (WAC #4)  LY Str:#236  Talent: [Return:#245  New:#260]  SI:#245 POM:#269
247. Elon (CAA #8)  LY Str:#201  Talent: [Return:#249  New:#159]  SI:#255 POM:#274
248. East Tennessee St. (SC #4)  LY Str:#254  Talent: [Return:#246  New:#226]  SI:#211 POM:#195
249. Charleston Southern (BSth #6)  LY Str:#194  Talent: [Return:#248  New:#205]  SI:#192 POM:#193
250. Texas A&M CC (SLand #4)  LY Str:#253  Talent: [Return:#247  New:#261]  SI:#265 POM:#243
251. Idaho (BSky #6)  LY Str:#258  Talent: [Return:#250  New:#262]  SI:#241 POM:#255
252. Cal St. Bakersfield (WAC #5)  LY Str:#221  Talent: [Return:#251  New:#285]  SI:#216 POM:#277
253. Louisiana Monroe (Sun #6)  LY Str:#231  Talent: [Return:#261  New:#120]  SI:#303 POM:#287
254. North Dakota (BSky #7)  LY Str:#260  Talent: [Return:#254  New:#206]  SI:#281 POM:#316
255. Illinois Chicago (Horz #9)  LY Str:#270  Talent: [Return:#255  New:#227]  SI:#279 POM:#288
256. Incarnate Word (SLand #5)  LY Str:#281  Talent: [Return:#253  New:#286]  SI:#231 POM:#248
257. Lipscomb (ASun #3)  LY Str:#276  Talent: [Return:#265  New:#105]  SI:#219 POM:#217
258. Gardner Webb (BSth #7)  LY Str:#255  Talent: [Return:#256  New:#207]  SI:#206 POM:#242
259. Central Michigan (MAC #11)  LY Str:#280  Talent: [Return:#257  New:#186]  SI:#224 POM:#236
260. Troy (Sun #7)  LY Str:#244  Talent: [Return:#262  New:#167]  SI:#290 POM:#273
261. Fairfield (MAAC #9)  LY Str:#268  Talent: [Return:#259  New:#228]  SI:#207 POM:#221
262. North Texas (CUSA #12)  LY Str:#242  Talent: [Return:#260  New:#229]  SI:#285 POM:#218
263. UC Riverside (BW #8)  LY Str:#269  Talent: [Return:#258  New:#301+]  SI:#278 POM:#297
264. Western Illinois (Sum #8)  LY Str:#264  Talent: [Return:#263  New:#287]  SI:#270 POM:#254
265. Lehigh (Pat #8)  LY Str:#246  Talent: [Return:#264  New:#263]  SI:#181 POM:#222
266. Monmouth (MAAC #10)  LY Str:#262  Talent: [Return:#267  New:#230]  SI:#215 POM:#261
267. Chattanooga (SC #5)  LY Str:#289  Talent: [Return:#266  New:#288]  SI:#280 POM:#284
268. SIU Edwardsville (OVC #6)  LY Str:#297  Talent: [Return:#268  New:#187]  SI:#287 POM:#289
269. Portland St. (BSky #8)  LY Str:#277  Talent: [Return:#270  New:#289]  SI:#223 POM:#275
270. St. Francis PA (NEC #6)  LY Str:#312  Talent: [Return:#269  New:#301+]  SI:#275 POM:#257
271. Northern Colorado (BSky #9)  LY Str:#211  Talent: [Return:#271  New:#290]  SI:#261 POM:#250
272. Texas St. (Sun #8)  LY Str:#267  Talent: [Return:#272  New:#231]  SI:#273 POM:#290
273. James Madison (CAA #9)  LY Str:#263  Talent: [Return:#273  New:#264]  SI:#254 POM:#220
274. UNC Wilmington (CAA #10)  LY Str:#275  Talent: [Return:#275  New:#208]  SI:#243 POM:#266
275. Navy (Pat #9)  LY Str:#290  Talent: [Return:#274  New:#301+]  SI:#247 POM:#303
276. Eastern Illinois (OVC #7)  LY Str:#300  Talent: [Return:#276  New:#301+]  SI:#260 POM:#305
277. Penn (Ivy #7)  LY Str:#257  Talent: [Return:#277  New:#160]  SI:#240 POM:#232
278. Idaho St. (BSky #10)  LY Str:#249  Talent: [Return:#278  New:#176]  SI:#312 POM:#283
279. North Florida (ASun #4)  LY Str:#271  Talent: [Return:#280  New:#291]  SI:#266 POM:#247
280. Alabama St. (SWAC #2)  LY Str:#305  Talent: [Return:#279  New:#301+]  SI:#228 POM:#291
281. South Alabama (Sun #9)  LY Str:#228  Talent: [Return:#288  New:#61]  SI:#295 POM:#298
282. Loyola MD (Pat #10)  LY Str:#295  Talent: [Return:#281  New:#209]  SI:#311 POM:#286
283. Central Connecticut (NEC #7)  LY Str:#314  Talent: [Return:#282  New:#292]  SI:#250 POM:#233
284. San Jose St. (MWC #11)  LY Str:#278  Talent: [Return:#284  New:#110]  SI:#248 POM:#279
285. Savannah St. (MEAC #4)  LY Str:#286  Talent: [Return:#283  New:#301+]  SI:#317 POM:#301+
286. Northern Kentucky (ASun #5)  LY Str:#301+  Talent: [Return:#285  New:#265]  SI:#274 POM:#310
287. UC Davis (BW #9)  LY Str:#309  Talent: [Return:#286  New:#301+]  SI:#227 POM:#260
288. Western Carolina (SC #6)  LY Str:#248  Talent: [Return:#287  New:#301+]  SI:#297 POM:#270
289. Texas Southern (SWAC #3)  LY Str:#265  Talent: [Return:#289  New:#232]  SI:#283 POM:#267
290. Norfolk St. (MEAC #5)  LY Str:#261  Talent: [Return:#290  New:#293]  SI:#339 POM:#280
291. Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC #8)  LY Str:#287  Talent: [Return:#291  New:#233]  SI:#328 POM:#311
292. UTSA (CUSA #13)  LY Str:#307  Talent: [Return:#293  New:#210]  SI:#269 POM:#293
293. UMass Lowell (AE #5)  LY Str:#318  Talent: [Return:#292  New:#301+]  SI:#322 POM:#340
294. Tennessee Tech (OVC #8)  LY Str:#266  Talent: [Return:#295  New:#211]  SI:#272 POM:#276
295. Niagara (MAAC #11)  LY Str:#274  Talent: [Return:#294  New:#294]  SI:#316 POM:#264
296. Coppin St. (MEAC #6)  LY Str:#299  Talent: [Return:#296  New:#301+]  SI:#292 POM:#317
297. Howard (MEAC #7)  LY Str:#338  Talent: [Return:#297  New:#301+]  SI:#306 POM:#349
298. Austin Peay (OVC #9)  LY Str:#291  Talent: [Return:#298  New:#301+]  SI:#252 POM:#268
299. Rice (CUSA #14)  LY Str:#288  Talent: [Return:#303  New:#152]  SI:#286 POM:#302
300. Bethune Cookman (MEAC #8)  LY Str:#333  Talent: [Return:#299  New:#301+]  SI:#314 POM:#330
301. NJIT (ind #1)  LY Str:#310  Talent: [Return:#300  New:#295]  SI:#258 POM:#308
302. Jacksonville St. (OVC #10)  LY Str:#302  Talent: [Return:#301+  New:#301+]  SI:#268 POM:#278
303. Chicago St. (WAC #6)  LY Str:#292  Talent: [Return:#305  New:#234]  SI:#331 POM:#319
304. Tennessee Martin (OVC #11)  LY Str:#322  Talent: [Return:#302  New:#296]  SI:#289 POM:#334
305. Georgia Southern (Sun #10)  LY Str:#298  Talent: [Return:#310  New:#106]  SI:#262 POM:#263
306. Delaware St. (MEAC #9)  LY Str:#311  Talent: [Return:#304  New:#301+]  SI:#284 POM:#307
307. McNeese St. (SLand #6)  LY Str:#317  Talent: [Return:#306  New:#301+]  SI:#308 POM:#300
308. Ball St. (MAC #12)  LY Str:#282  Talent: [Return:#308  New:#161]  SI:#313 POM:#282
309. UMKC (WAC #7)  LY Str:#283  Talent: [Return:#309  New:#134]  SI:#296 POM:#251
310. Texas Pan American (WAC #8)  LY Str:#293  Talent: [Return:#307  New:#235]  SI:#294 POM:#295
311. New Hampshire (AE #6)  LY Str:#320  Talent: [Return:#312  New:#236]  SI:#304 POM:#331
312. Arkansas Pine Bluff (SWAC #4)  LY Str:#324  Talent: [Return:#311  New:#301+]  SI:#315 POM:#326
313. Nicholls St. (SLand #7)  LY Str:#316  Talent: [Return:#313  New:#266]  SI:#309 POM:#315
314. Binghamton (AE #7)  LY Str:#329  Talent: [Return:#315  New:#212]  SI:#300 POM:#304
315. Sacred Heart (NEC #9)  LY Str:#303  Talent: [Return:#314  New:#267]  SI:#307 POM:#294
316. Liberty (BSth #8)  LY Str:#285  Talent: [Return:#318  New:#177]  SI:#310 POM:#285
317. Kennesaw St. (ASun #6)  LY Str:#337  Talent: [Return:#316  New:#213]  SI:#302 POM:#322
318. Appalachian St. (Sun #11)  LY Str:#325  Talent: [Return:#317  New:#214]  SI:#305 POM:#313
319. Jacksonville (ASun #7)  LY Str:#313  Talent: [Return:#319  New:#188]  SI:#336 POM:#328
320. Tennessee St. (OVC #12)  LY Str:#284  Talent: [Return:#321  New:#237]  SI:#346 POM:#312
321. Cornell (Ivy #8)  LY Str:#331  Talent: [Return:#320  New:#301+]  SI:#301+ POM:#318
322. UNC Greensboro (SC #7)  LY Str:#308  Talent: [Return:#323  New:#153]  SI:#282 POM:#272
323. Montana St. (BSky #11)  LY Str:#296  Talent: [Return:#322  New:#268]  SI:#277 POM:#327
324. SE Louisiana (SLand #8)  LY Str:#327  Talent: [Return:#325  New:#189]  SI:#299 POM:#309
325. Jackson St. (SWAC #5)  LY Str:#294  Talent: [Return:#326  New:#238]  SI:#325 POM:#323
326. Campbell (BSth #9)  LY Str:#328  Talent: [Return:#324  New:#297]  SI:#327 POM:#299
327. Alabama A&M (SWAC #6)  LY Str:#306  Talent: [Return:#330  New:#190]  SI:#345 POM:#338
328. Prairie View A&M (SWAC #7)  LY Str:#330  Talent: [Return:#331  New:#178]  SI:#335 POM:#320
329. Presbyterian (BSth #10)  LY Str:#350  Talent: [Return:#327  New:#301+]  SI:#324 POM:#321
330. The Citadel (SC #8)  LY Str:#342  Talent: [Return:#328  New:#301+]  SI:#333 POM:#336
331. Alcorn St. (SWAC #8)  LY Str:#323  Talent: [Return:#329  New:#301+]  SI:#318 POM:#314
332. Furman (SC #9)  LY Str:#344  Talent: [Return:#332  New:#269]  SI:#332 POM:#292
333. Southern Utah (BSky #12)  LY Str:#349  Talent: [Return:#333  New:#301+]  SI:#337 POM:#342
334. Maine (AE #8)  LY Str:#343  Talent: [Return:#334  New:#298]  SI:#321 POM:#343
335. Houston Baptist (SLand #9)  LY Str:#340  Talent: [Return:#335  New:#299]  SI:#334 POM:#344
336. UMBC (AE #9)  LY Str:#319  Talent: [Return:#336  New:#215]  SI:#343 POM:#325
337. Abilene Christian (SLand #10)  LY Str:#346  Talent: [Return:#337  New:#301+]  SI:#320 POM:#346
338. LIU Brooklyn (NEC #10)  LY Str:#315  Talent: [Return:#338  New:#216]  SI:#330 POM:#306
339. New Orleans (SLand #11)  LY Str:#332  Talent: [Return:#339  New:#191]  SI:#342 POM:#332
340. IUPUI (Sum #9)  LY Str:#321  Talent: [Return:#341  New:#163]  SI:#319 POM:#324
341. Samford (SC #10)  LY Str:#326  Talent: [Return:#340  New:#301+]  SI:#341 POM:#333
342. Stetson (ASun #8)  LY Str:#335  Talent: [Return:#343  New:#135]  SI:#347 POM:#329
343. Grambling St. (SWAC #9)  LY Str:#351  Talent: [Return:#342  New:#301+]  SI:#351 POM:#351
344. MD Eastern Shore (MEAC #10)  LY Str:#339  Talent: [Return:#344  New:#301+]  SI:#348 POM:#350
345. South Carolina St. (MEAC #11)  LY Str:#345  Talent: [Return:#345  New:#301+]  SI:#323 POM:#339
346. North Carolina A&T (MEAC #12)  LY Str:#334  Talent: [Return:#346  New:#300]  SI:#338 POM:#337
347. Florida A&M (MEAC #13)  LY Str:#304  Talent: [Return:#347  New:#270]  SI:#349 POM:#335
348. Lamar (SLand #12)  LY Str:#341  Talent: [Return:#348  New:#301+]  SI:#329 POM:#347
349. Longwood (BSth #11)  LY Str:#347  Talent: [Return:#349  New:#192]  SI:#326 POM:#345
350. Miss. Valley St. (SWAC #10)  LY Str:#348  Talent: [Return:#350  New:#301+]  SI:#344 POM:#348
351. Central Arkansas (SLand #13)  LY Str:#336  Talent: [Return:#351  New:#193]  SI:#350 POM:#341