Since no power rating works well in the first few weeks—especially not in the first week—when using only this season's results, we've updated our Pre-Season Top 124 ratings with this week's results using a Bayesian modification of our pre-season Power Rating values.
The full top 124 can be found here. This is the new top ten:
|
Pre-season Rank |
Week One Rank |
Team | Week One Record |
Revised Rating |
Rank Up/Down |
| 2 | 1 | Alabama | 1-0 | 34.22 | +1 |
| 1 | 2 | Southern Cal | 1-0 | 30.78 | -1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oklahoma | 1-0 | 28.64 | = |
| 5 | 4 | Florida St | 1-0 | 27.11 | +1 |
| 4 | 5 | LSU | 1-0 | 25.67 | -1 |
| 8 | 6 | Oregon | 1-0 | 22.26 | +2 |
| 6 | 7 | Texas | 1-0 | 21.29 | -1 |
| 14 | 8 | Notre Dame | 1-0 | 20.65 | +6 |
| 10 | 9 | Oklahoma St | 1-0 | 20.55 | +1 |
| 7 | 10 | Michigan | 0-1 | 20.46 | -3 |
First and foremost, Alabama has taken over the top spot based on their 41-14 throttling of Michigan. The former #1 USC Trojans are pushed to #2. Oklahoma fell quite a bit in rating but not in ranking, holding at #3 since LSU dropped more, falling to #5. Florida State rises to #4.
Oregon and Texas made small moves but Notre Dame took a bit leap into the top ten after beating Navy 50-10. Oklahoma State moved up one spot for beating Savannah State 84-0, even though their rating was almost unchanged. Michigan dropped to #10; they jury is out on the Wolverines but we don't judge them harshly for one poor game.
In the top 25, the biggest mover was Baylor, jumping 8 spots from 31 to 23 after a big win over SMU (59-24). Ohio State (beat Miami Ohio 56-10) leapt from 18 to 11, while Stanford (beat San Jose State 20-17) correspondingly dropped from 11 to 18. Wisconsin and Arkansas both fell four spots despite wins.
In the complete top 124, there were 10 teams that made double-digit jumps and 11 that had double-digit falls.
The biggest moves up were:
- Arizona State up 18 (62 to 44) after beating Northern Arizona 63-6
- San Jose State up 17 (101 to 84) after losing to Stanford 20-17
- Texas State up 15 (112 to 97) after beating Houston 30-13
- Temple up 14 (69 to 55) after beating Villanova 41-10
- Utah State up 14 (77 to 63) after beating Southern Utah 34-3
- Ohio up 13 (72 to 59) after beating Penn State 24-14
- Nevada up 13 (78 to 65) after beating California 31-24
- North Carolina up 12 (43 to 31) after beating Elon 62-0
- Duke up 12 (82 to 70) after beating Florida International 46-26
- Purdue up 10 (60 to 50) after beating Eastern Kentucky 48-6
The big downward movers:
- Houston down 25 (37 to 62) after losing to Texas State 30-13
- Miami Ohio down 17 (70 to 87) after losing to Ohio State 56-10
- SMU down 16 (58 to 74) after losing to Baylor 59-24
- Florida International down 14 (65 to 79) after losing to Duke 46-26
- Maryland down 13 (89 to 102) after beating William & Mary 7-6
- California down 13 (38 to 51) after losing to Nevada 31-24
- Pittsburgh down 12 (49 to 61) after losing to Youngstown State 31-17
- Penn State down 11 (66 to 77) after losing to Ohio 24-14
- Central Michigan down 10 (99 to 109) after beating SE Missouri St 38-27
- Boston College down 10 (61 to 71) after losing to Miami FL 41-32
- Rutgers down 10 (30 to 40) after beating Tulane 24-12
We'll continue to update in this manner for the first three weeks before the from-scratch power rating becomes viable.
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